Trajectory analysis of the coronavirus pandemic and the impact of precautionary measures in the Kingdom of Bahrain

The Kingdom of Bahrain announced its first case of COVID-19 infection on February 24, 2020. Since that time, the government has imposed several restrictions such as closures, banning gatherings, and closing border crossings to limit the spread of the pandemic and relieve pressure on the healthcare s...

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Main Authors: Ahmed Al Dallal, Jehad Al Dallal, Waheeb E. Alnaser, Mohammed Y. Ashqar, Bader S. Al-Anzi
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: Taylor & Francis Group 2021-01-01
Series:Arab Journal of Basic and Applied Sciences
Subjects:
Online Access:http://dx.doi.org/10.1080/25765299.2021.1886390
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spelling doaj-07b29706062749f1add855e04b40d9cb2021-06-02T10:12:15ZengTaylor & Francis GroupArab Journal of Basic and Applied Sciences2576-52992021-01-0128113514410.1080/25765299.2021.18863901886390Trajectory analysis of the coronavirus pandemic and the impact of precautionary measures in the Kingdom of BahrainAhmed Al Dallal0Jehad Al Dallal1Waheeb E. Alnaser2Mohammed Y. Ashqar3Bader S. Al-Anzi4Department of Electrical and Computer Engineering, University of AlbertaInformation Science Department, Kuwait UniversityDepartment of Physics, College of Science, University of BahrainDepartment of Mathematics, College of Science, University of BahrainDepartment of Environment Technologies and Management, Kuwait UniversityThe Kingdom of Bahrain announced its first case of COVID-19 infection on February 24, 2020. Since that time, the government has imposed several restrictions such as closures, banning gatherings, and closing border crossings to limit the spread of the pandemic and relieve pressure on the healthcare system. This article provides an overview of the current trajectory of the pandemic in the Kingdom of Bahrain. In addition, the article introduces and applies a methodology to analyze the impact of the interventions and precautionary measures enforced by the government to limit the COVID-19 disease propagation. The results show that most of the enforced precautionary measures were effective in reducing the spread of the disease by a percentage ranging from 20.2% to 41.8%. A religious occasion in Bahrain—involving large gatherings—had increased the spread of the disease by 28.7%. Not enough evidence is found to conclude that reopening interventions had caused the disease to spread again.http://dx.doi.org/10.1080/25765299.2021.1886390coronaviruscovid-19kingdom of bahrainprecautionary measurestrajectory
collection DOAJ
language English
format Article
sources DOAJ
author Ahmed Al Dallal
Jehad Al Dallal
Waheeb E. Alnaser
Mohammed Y. Ashqar
Bader S. Al-Anzi
spellingShingle Ahmed Al Dallal
Jehad Al Dallal
Waheeb E. Alnaser
Mohammed Y. Ashqar
Bader S. Al-Anzi
Trajectory analysis of the coronavirus pandemic and the impact of precautionary measures in the Kingdom of Bahrain
Arab Journal of Basic and Applied Sciences
coronavirus
covid-19
kingdom of bahrain
precautionary measures
trajectory
author_facet Ahmed Al Dallal
Jehad Al Dallal
Waheeb E. Alnaser
Mohammed Y. Ashqar
Bader S. Al-Anzi
author_sort Ahmed Al Dallal
title Trajectory analysis of the coronavirus pandemic and the impact of precautionary measures in the Kingdom of Bahrain
title_short Trajectory analysis of the coronavirus pandemic and the impact of precautionary measures in the Kingdom of Bahrain
title_full Trajectory analysis of the coronavirus pandemic and the impact of precautionary measures in the Kingdom of Bahrain
title_fullStr Trajectory analysis of the coronavirus pandemic and the impact of precautionary measures in the Kingdom of Bahrain
title_full_unstemmed Trajectory analysis of the coronavirus pandemic and the impact of precautionary measures in the Kingdom of Bahrain
title_sort trajectory analysis of the coronavirus pandemic and the impact of precautionary measures in the kingdom of bahrain
publisher Taylor & Francis Group
series Arab Journal of Basic and Applied Sciences
issn 2576-5299
publishDate 2021-01-01
description The Kingdom of Bahrain announced its first case of COVID-19 infection on February 24, 2020. Since that time, the government has imposed several restrictions such as closures, banning gatherings, and closing border crossings to limit the spread of the pandemic and relieve pressure on the healthcare system. This article provides an overview of the current trajectory of the pandemic in the Kingdom of Bahrain. In addition, the article introduces and applies a methodology to analyze the impact of the interventions and precautionary measures enforced by the government to limit the COVID-19 disease propagation. The results show that most of the enforced precautionary measures were effective in reducing the spread of the disease by a percentage ranging from 20.2% to 41.8%. A religious occasion in Bahrain—involving large gatherings—had increased the spread of the disease by 28.7%. Not enough evidence is found to conclude that reopening interventions had caused the disease to spread again.
topic coronavirus
covid-19
kingdom of bahrain
precautionary measures
trajectory
url http://dx.doi.org/10.1080/25765299.2021.1886390
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AT waheebealnaser trajectoryanalysisofthecoronaviruspandemicandtheimpactofprecautionarymeasuresinthekingdomofbahrain
AT mohammedyashqar trajectoryanalysisofthecoronaviruspandemicandtheimpactofprecautionarymeasuresinthekingdomofbahrain
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