A statistical model of the international spread of wild poliovirus in Africa used to predict and prevent outbreaks.

Outbreaks of poliomyelitis in African countries that were previously free of wild-type poliovirus cost the Global Polio Eradication Initiative US$850 million during 2003-2009, and have limited the ability of the program to focus on endemic countries. A quantitative understanding of the factors that...

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Bibliographic Details
Main Authors: Kathleen M O'Reilly, Claire Chauvin, R Bruce Aylward, Chris Maher, Sam Okiror, Chris Wolff, Deo Nshmirimana, Christl A Donnelly, Nicholas C Grassly
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: Public Library of Science (PLoS) 2011-10-01
Series:PLoS Medicine
Online Access:http://europepmc.org/articles/PMC3196484?pdf=render