High-ranked social science journal articles can be identified from early citation information.

Do citations accumulate too slowly in the social sciences to be used to assess the quality of recent articles? I investigate whether this is the case using citation data for all articles in economics and political science published in 2006 and indexed in the Web of Science. I find that citations in...

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Main Author: David I Stern
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: Public Library of Science (PLoS) 2014-01-01
Series:PLoS ONE
Online Access:http://europepmc.org/articles/PMC4229225?pdf=render
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spelling doaj-3118a07e48a44173b12f4b6c64022fb82020-11-25T01:20:00ZengPublic Library of Science (PLoS)PLoS ONE1932-62032014-01-01911e11252010.1371/journal.pone.0112520High-ranked social science journal articles can be identified from early citation information.David I SternDo citations accumulate too slowly in the social sciences to be used to assess the quality of recent articles? I investigate whether this is the case using citation data for all articles in economics and political science published in 2006 and indexed in the Web of Science. I find that citations in the first two years after publication explain more than half of the variation in cumulative citations received over a longer period. Journal impact factors improve the correlation between the predicted and actual future ranks of journal articles when using citation data from 2006 alone but the effect declines sharply thereafter. Finally, more than half of the papers in the top 20% in 2012 were already in the top 20% in the year of publication (2006).http://europepmc.org/articles/PMC4229225?pdf=render
collection DOAJ
language English
format Article
sources DOAJ
author David I Stern
spellingShingle David I Stern
High-ranked social science journal articles can be identified from early citation information.
PLoS ONE
author_facet David I Stern
author_sort David I Stern
title High-ranked social science journal articles can be identified from early citation information.
title_short High-ranked social science journal articles can be identified from early citation information.
title_full High-ranked social science journal articles can be identified from early citation information.
title_fullStr High-ranked social science journal articles can be identified from early citation information.
title_full_unstemmed High-ranked social science journal articles can be identified from early citation information.
title_sort high-ranked social science journal articles can be identified from early citation information.
publisher Public Library of Science (PLoS)
series PLoS ONE
issn 1932-6203
publishDate 2014-01-01
description Do citations accumulate too slowly in the social sciences to be used to assess the quality of recent articles? I investigate whether this is the case using citation data for all articles in economics and political science published in 2006 and indexed in the Web of Science. I find that citations in the first two years after publication explain more than half of the variation in cumulative citations received over a longer period. Journal impact factors improve the correlation between the predicted and actual future ranks of journal articles when using citation data from 2006 alone but the effect declines sharply thereafter. Finally, more than half of the papers in the top 20% in 2012 were already in the top 20% in the year of publication (2006).
url http://europepmc.org/articles/PMC4229225?pdf=render
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