Perturbation of convection-permitting NWP forecasts for flash-flood ensemble forecasting

Mediterranean intense weather events often lead to devastating flash-floods. Extending the forecasting lead times further than the watershed response times, implies the use of numerical weather prediction (NWP) to drive hydrological models. However, the nature of the precipitating events and the tem...

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Bibliographic Details
Main Authors: B. Vincendon, V. Ducrocq, O. Nuissier, B. Vié
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: Copernicus Publications 2011-05-01
Series:Natural Hazards and Earth System Sciences
Online Access:http://www.nat-hazards-earth-syst-sci.net/11/1529/2011/nhess-11-1529-2011.pdf