Forecasting the spread of raccoon rabies using a purpose-specific group decisionmaking process

The Centers for Disease Control (CDC) and USDA Wildlife Services (WS) have been involved in an oral rabies vaccination (ORV) program for raccoons (Procyon lotor) that has slowed the westward spread of raccoon rabies. The objective of this study was to forecast the spread of the disease if an ORV zon...

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Main Authors: Aaron M. Anderson, Stephanie A. Shwiff, Richard B. Chipman, Todd Atwood, Tyler Cozzens, Frank Fillo, Robert Hale, Brody Hatch, Joanne Maki, Olin E. Rhodes, Erin E. Rees, Charles E. Rupprecht, Rowland Tinline, Kurt C. VerCauteren, Dennis Slate
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: Utah State University 2017-01-01
Series:Human-Wildlife Interactions
Subjects:
Online Access:https://digitalcommons.usu.edu/hwi/vol8/iss1/14
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spelling doaj-8d4ccd636d33407b8c51e6554eea6d682020-11-25T03:40:51ZengUtah State UniversityHuman-Wildlife Interactions2155-38742155-38742017-01-018110.26077/an27-z240Forecasting the spread of raccoon rabies using a purpose-specific group decisionmaking processAaron M. Anderson0Stephanie A. Shwiff1Richard B. Chipman2Todd Atwood3Tyler Cozzens4Frank Fillo5Robert Hale6Brody Hatch7Joanne Maki8Olin E. Rhodes9Erin E. Rees10Charles E. Rupprecht11Rowland Tinline12Kurt C. VerCauteren13Dennis Slate14Wildlife Services’ National Wildlife Research CenterWildlife Services’ National Wildlife Research CenterWildlife Services’ National Wildlife Research CenterWildlife Services’ National Wildlife Research CenterWildlife Services’ National Wildlife Research Center)Policy and Program DevelopmentWildlife Services’ National Wildlife Research CenterWildlife Services’ National Wildlife Research CenterMerial LimitedWildlife Services’ National Wildlife Research CenterUniversité de MontréalGlobal Alliance for Rabies ControlQueen's UniversityWildlife Services' National Wildlife Research VenterWildlife Services' National Rabies Management ProgramThe Centers for Disease Control (CDC) and USDA Wildlife Services (WS) have been involved in an oral rabies vaccination (ORV) program for raccoons (Procyon lotor) that has slowed the westward spread of raccoon rabies. The objective of this study was to forecast the spread of the disease if an ORV zone was not maintained. A group decision-making process was designed to address the forecasting problem and was implemented using a group of 15 experts and 4 support personnel at a meeting at the USDA National Wildlife Research Center. Ten expansion regions were constructed that described the spread of disease at 2-year intervals. This forecast may provide for more accurate cost-benefit analysis of the ORV barrier. https://digitalcommons.usu.edu/hwi/vol8/iss1/14forecasthuman–wildlife conflictoral rabies vaccinationprocyon lotorraccoonrabiesunited stateszoonotic disease
collection DOAJ
language English
format Article
sources DOAJ
author Aaron M. Anderson
Stephanie A. Shwiff
Richard B. Chipman
Todd Atwood
Tyler Cozzens
Frank Fillo
Robert Hale
Brody Hatch
Joanne Maki
Olin E. Rhodes
Erin E. Rees
Charles E. Rupprecht
Rowland Tinline
Kurt C. VerCauteren
Dennis Slate
spellingShingle Aaron M. Anderson
Stephanie A. Shwiff
Richard B. Chipman
Todd Atwood
Tyler Cozzens
Frank Fillo
Robert Hale
Brody Hatch
Joanne Maki
Olin E. Rhodes
Erin E. Rees
Charles E. Rupprecht
Rowland Tinline
Kurt C. VerCauteren
Dennis Slate
Forecasting the spread of raccoon rabies using a purpose-specific group decisionmaking process
Human-Wildlife Interactions
forecast
human–wildlife conflict
oral rabies vaccination
procyon lotor
raccoon
rabies
united states
zoonotic disease
author_facet Aaron M. Anderson
Stephanie A. Shwiff
Richard B. Chipman
Todd Atwood
Tyler Cozzens
Frank Fillo
Robert Hale
Brody Hatch
Joanne Maki
Olin E. Rhodes
Erin E. Rees
Charles E. Rupprecht
Rowland Tinline
Kurt C. VerCauteren
Dennis Slate
author_sort Aaron M. Anderson
title Forecasting the spread of raccoon rabies using a purpose-specific group decisionmaking process
title_short Forecasting the spread of raccoon rabies using a purpose-specific group decisionmaking process
title_full Forecasting the spread of raccoon rabies using a purpose-specific group decisionmaking process
title_fullStr Forecasting the spread of raccoon rabies using a purpose-specific group decisionmaking process
title_full_unstemmed Forecasting the spread of raccoon rabies using a purpose-specific group decisionmaking process
title_sort forecasting the spread of raccoon rabies using a purpose-specific group decisionmaking process
publisher Utah State University
series Human-Wildlife Interactions
issn 2155-3874
2155-3874
publishDate 2017-01-01
description The Centers for Disease Control (CDC) and USDA Wildlife Services (WS) have been involved in an oral rabies vaccination (ORV) program for raccoons (Procyon lotor) that has slowed the westward spread of raccoon rabies. The objective of this study was to forecast the spread of the disease if an ORV zone was not maintained. A group decision-making process was designed to address the forecasting problem and was implemented using a group of 15 experts and 4 support personnel at a meeting at the USDA National Wildlife Research Center. Ten expansion regions were constructed that described the spread of disease at 2-year intervals. This forecast may provide for more accurate cost-benefit analysis of the ORV barrier.
topic forecast
human–wildlife conflict
oral rabies vaccination
procyon lotor
raccoon
rabies
united states
zoonotic disease
url https://digitalcommons.usu.edu/hwi/vol8/iss1/14
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