Forecasting the spread of raccoon rabies using a purpose-specific group decisionmaking process
The Centers for Disease Control (CDC) and USDA Wildlife Services (WS) have been involved in an oral rabies vaccination (ORV) program for raccoons (Procyon lotor) that has slowed the westward spread of raccoon rabies. The objective of this study was to forecast the spread of the disease if an ORV zon...
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doaj-8d4ccd636d33407b8c51e6554eea6d682020-11-25T03:40:51ZengUtah State UniversityHuman-Wildlife Interactions2155-38742155-38742017-01-018110.26077/an27-z240Forecasting the spread of raccoon rabies using a purpose-specific group decisionmaking processAaron M. Anderson0Stephanie A. Shwiff1Richard B. Chipman2Todd Atwood3Tyler Cozzens4Frank Fillo5Robert Hale6Brody Hatch7Joanne Maki8Olin E. Rhodes9Erin E. Rees10Charles E. Rupprecht11Rowland Tinline12Kurt C. VerCauteren13Dennis Slate14Wildlife Services’ National Wildlife Research CenterWildlife Services’ National Wildlife Research CenterWildlife Services’ National Wildlife Research CenterWildlife Services’ National Wildlife Research CenterWildlife Services’ National Wildlife Research Center)Policy and Program DevelopmentWildlife Services’ National Wildlife Research CenterWildlife Services’ National Wildlife Research CenterMerial LimitedWildlife Services’ National Wildlife Research CenterUniversité de MontréalGlobal Alliance for Rabies ControlQueen's UniversityWildlife Services' National Wildlife Research VenterWildlife Services' National Rabies Management ProgramThe Centers for Disease Control (CDC) and USDA Wildlife Services (WS) have been involved in an oral rabies vaccination (ORV) program for raccoons (Procyon lotor) that has slowed the westward spread of raccoon rabies. The objective of this study was to forecast the spread of the disease if an ORV zone was not maintained. A group decision-making process was designed to address the forecasting problem and was implemented using a group of 15 experts and 4 support personnel at a meeting at the USDA National Wildlife Research Center. Ten expansion regions were constructed that described the spread of disease at 2-year intervals. This forecast may provide for more accurate cost-benefit analysis of the ORV barrier. https://digitalcommons.usu.edu/hwi/vol8/iss1/14forecasthuman–wildlife conflictoral rabies vaccinationprocyon lotorraccoonrabiesunited stateszoonotic disease |
collection |
DOAJ |
language |
English |
format |
Article |
sources |
DOAJ |
author |
Aaron M. Anderson Stephanie A. Shwiff Richard B. Chipman Todd Atwood Tyler Cozzens Frank Fillo Robert Hale Brody Hatch Joanne Maki Olin E. Rhodes Erin E. Rees Charles E. Rupprecht Rowland Tinline Kurt C. VerCauteren Dennis Slate |
spellingShingle |
Aaron M. Anderson Stephanie A. Shwiff Richard B. Chipman Todd Atwood Tyler Cozzens Frank Fillo Robert Hale Brody Hatch Joanne Maki Olin E. Rhodes Erin E. Rees Charles E. Rupprecht Rowland Tinline Kurt C. VerCauteren Dennis Slate Forecasting the spread of raccoon rabies using a purpose-specific group decisionmaking process Human-Wildlife Interactions forecast human–wildlife conflict oral rabies vaccination procyon lotor raccoon rabies united states zoonotic disease |
author_facet |
Aaron M. Anderson Stephanie A. Shwiff Richard B. Chipman Todd Atwood Tyler Cozzens Frank Fillo Robert Hale Brody Hatch Joanne Maki Olin E. Rhodes Erin E. Rees Charles E. Rupprecht Rowland Tinline Kurt C. VerCauteren Dennis Slate |
author_sort |
Aaron M. Anderson |
title |
Forecasting the spread of raccoon rabies using a purpose-specific group decisionmaking process |
title_short |
Forecasting the spread of raccoon rabies using a purpose-specific group decisionmaking process |
title_full |
Forecasting the spread of raccoon rabies using a purpose-specific group decisionmaking process |
title_fullStr |
Forecasting the spread of raccoon rabies using a purpose-specific group decisionmaking process |
title_full_unstemmed |
Forecasting the spread of raccoon rabies using a purpose-specific group decisionmaking process |
title_sort |
forecasting the spread of raccoon rabies using a purpose-specific group decisionmaking process |
publisher |
Utah State University |
series |
Human-Wildlife Interactions |
issn |
2155-3874 2155-3874 |
publishDate |
2017-01-01 |
description |
The Centers for Disease Control (CDC) and USDA Wildlife Services (WS) have been involved in an oral rabies vaccination (ORV) program for raccoons (Procyon lotor) that has slowed the westward spread of raccoon rabies. The objective of this study was to forecast the spread of the disease if an ORV zone was not maintained. A group decision-making process was designed to address the forecasting problem and was implemented using a group of 15 experts and 4 support personnel at a meeting at the USDA National Wildlife Research Center. Ten expansion regions were constructed that described the spread of disease at 2-year intervals. This forecast may provide for more accurate cost-benefit analysis of the ORV barrier.
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topic |
forecast human–wildlife conflict oral rabies vaccination procyon lotor raccoon rabies united states zoonotic disease |
url |
https://digitalcommons.usu.edu/hwi/vol8/iss1/14 |
work_keys_str_mv |
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