Updates to the zoonotic niche map of Ebola virus disease in Africa

As the outbreak of Ebola virus disease (EVD) in West Africa is now contained, attention is turning from control to future outbreak prediction and prevention. Building on a previously published zoonotic niche map (Pigott et al., 2014), this study incorporates new human and animal occurrence data and...

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Main Authors: David M Pigott, Anoushka I Millear, Lucas Earl, Chloe Morozoff, Barbara A Han, Freya M Shearer, Daniel J Weiss, Oliver J Brady, Moritz UG Kraemer, Catherine L Moyes, Samir Bhatt, Peter W Gething, Nick Golding, Simon I Hay
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: eLife Sciences Publications Ltd 2016-07-01
Series:eLife
Subjects:
Online Access:https://elifesciences.org/articles/16412
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spelling doaj-a216443e2f084c6c8c52a684fa6b203a2021-05-05T00:28:49ZengeLife Sciences Publications LtdeLife2050-084X2016-07-01510.7554/eLife.16412Updates to the zoonotic niche map of Ebola virus disease in AfricaDavid M Pigott0Anoushka I Millear1Lucas Earl2Chloe Morozoff3https://orcid.org/0000-0002-3254-5553Barbara A Han4Freya M Shearer5Daniel J Weiss6Oliver J Brady7Moritz UG Kraemer8https://orcid.org/0000-0001-8838-7147Catherine L Moyes9https://orcid.org/0000-0002-8028-4079Samir Bhatt10Peter W Gething11Nick Golding12Simon I Hay13https://orcid.org/0000-0002-0611-7272Institute for Health Metrics and Evaluation, University of Washington, Seattle, United States; Oxford Big Data Institute, Li Ka Shing Centre for Health Information and Discovery, Oxford, United KingdomInstitute for Health Metrics and Evaluation, University of Washington, Seattle, United StatesInstitute for Health Metrics and Evaluation, University of Washington, Seattle, United StatesInstitute for Health Metrics and Evaluation, University of Washington, Seattle, United StatesCary Institute of Ecosystem Studies, New York, United StatesOxford Big Data Institute, Li Ka Shing Centre for Health Information and Discovery, Oxford, United KingdomSpatial Ecology and Epidemiology Group, University of Oxford, Oxford, United Kingdom; Department of Zoology, University of Oxford, Oxford, United KingdomOxford Big Data Institute, Li Ka Shing Centre for Health Information and Discovery, Oxford, United KingdomSpatial Ecology and Epidemiology Group, University of Oxford, Oxford, United Kingdom; Department of Zoology, University of Oxford, Oxford, United KingdomOxford Big Data Institute, Li Ka Shing Centre for Health Information and Discovery, Oxford, United KingdomSpatial Ecology and Epidemiology Group, University of Oxford, Oxford, United Kingdom; Department of Zoology, University of Oxford, Oxford, United KingdomSpatial Ecology and Epidemiology Group, University of Oxford, Oxford, United Kingdom; Department of Zoology, University of Oxford, Oxford, United KingdomOxford Big Data Institute, Li Ka Shing Centre for Health Information and Discovery, Oxford, United Kingdom; Department of BioSciences, University of Melbourne, Parkville, AustraliaInstitute for Health Metrics and Evaluation, University of Washington, Seattle, United States; Oxford Big Data Institute, Li Ka Shing Centre for Health Information and Discovery, Oxford, United KingdomAs the outbreak of Ebola virus disease (EVD) in West Africa is now contained, attention is turning from control to future outbreak prediction and prevention. Building on a previously published zoonotic niche map (Pigott et al., 2014), this study incorporates new human and animal occurrence data and expands upon the way in which potential bat EVD reservoir species are incorporated. This update demonstrates the potential for incorporating and updating data used to generate the predicted suitability map. A new data portal for sharing such maps is discussed. This output represents the most up-to-date estimate of the extent of EVD zoonotic risk in Africa. These maps can assist in strengthening surveillance and response capacity to contain viral haemorrhagic fevers.https://elifesciences.org/articles/16412boosted regression treedisease mappingebolaEbola virusniche based modellingspecies distribution modelling
collection DOAJ
language English
format Article
sources DOAJ
author David M Pigott
Anoushka I Millear
Lucas Earl
Chloe Morozoff
Barbara A Han
Freya M Shearer
Daniel J Weiss
Oliver J Brady
Moritz UG Kraemer
Catherine L Moyes
Samir Bhatt
Peter W Gething
Nick Golding
Simon I Hay
spellingShingle David M Pigott
Anoushka I Millear
Lucas Earl
Chloe Morozoff
Barbara A Han
Freya M Shearer
Daniel J Weiss
Oliver J Brady
Moritz UG Kraemer
Catherine L Moyes
Samir Bhatt
Peter W Gething
Nick Golding
Simon I Hay
Updates to the zoonotic niche map of Ebola virus disease in Africa
eLife
boosted regression tree
disease mapping
ebola
Ebola virus
niche based modelling
species distribution modelling
author_facet David M Pigott
Anoushka I Millear
Lucas Earl
Chloe Morozoff
Barbara A Han
Freya M Shearer
Daniel J Weiss
Oliver J Brady
Moritz UG Kraemer
Catherine L Moyes
Samir Bhatt
Peter W Gething
Nick Golding
Simon I Hay
author_sort David M Pigott
title Updates to the zoonotic niche map of Ebola virus disease in Africa
title_short Updates to the zoonotic niche map of Ebola virus disease in Africa
title_full Updates to the zoonotic niche map of Ebola virus disease in Africa
title_fullStr Updates to the zoonotic niche map of Ebola virus disease in Africa
title_full_unstemmed Updates to the zoonotic niche map of Ebola virus disease in Africa
title_sort updates to the zoonotic niche map of ebola virus disease in africa
publisher eLife Sciences Publications Ltd
series eLife
issn 2050-084X
publishDate 2016-07-01
description As the outbreak of Ebola virus disease (EVD) in West Africa is now contained, attention is turning from control to future outbreak prediction and prevention. Building on a previously published zoonotic niche map (Pigott et al., 2014), this study incorporates new human and animal occurrence data and expands upon the way in which potential bat EVD reservoir species are incorporated. This update demonstrates the potential for incorporating and updating data used to generate the predicted suitability map. A new data portal for sharing such maps is discussed. This output represents the most up-to-date estimate of the extent of EVD zoonotic risk in Africa. These maps can assist in strengthening surveillance and response capacity to contain viral haemorrhagic fevers.
topic boosted regression tree
disease mapping
ebola
Ebola virus
niche based modelling
species distribution modelling
url https://elifesciences.org/articles/16412
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