Limits to forecasting precision for outbreaks of directly transmitted diseases.
BACKGROUND: Early warning systems for outbreaks of infectious diseases are an important application of the ecological theory of epidemics. A key variable predicted by early warning systems is the final outbreak size. However, for directly transmitted diseases, the stochastic contact process by which...
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| Format: | Article |
| Language: | English |
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Public Library of Science (PLoS)
2006-01-01
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| Series: | PLoS Medicine |
| Online Access: | http://europepmc.org/articles/PMC1288026?pdf=render |