On Setting Day-Ahead Equity Trading Risk Limits: VaR Prediction at Market Close or Open?

This paper investigates the information content of the ex post overnight return for one-day-ahead equity Value-at-Risk (VaR) forecasting. To do so, we deploy a univariate VaR modeling approach that constructs the forecast at market open and, accordingly, exploits the available overnight close-to-ope...

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Bibliographic Details
Main Authors: Ana-Maria Fuertes, Jose Olmo
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: MDPI AG 2016-09-01
Series:Journal of Risk and Financial Management
Subjects:
Online Access:http://www.mdpi.com/1911-8074/9/3/10