Feasibility of achieving the 2025 WHO global tuberculosis targets in South Africa, China, and India: a combined analysis of 11 mathematical models

Background: The post-2015 End TB Strategy proposes targets of 50% reduction in tuberculosis incidence and 75% reduction in mortality from tuberculosis by 2025. We aimed to assess whether these targets are feasible in three high-burden countries with contrasting epidemiology and previous programmatic...

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Main Authors: Dr. Rein M G J Houben, PhD, Nicolas A Menzies, PhD, Tom Sumner, PhD, Grace H Huynh, PhD, Nimalan Arinaminpathy, PhD, Jeremy D Goldhaber-Fiebert, PhD, Hsien-Ho Lin, PhD, Chieh-Yin Wu, MS, Sandip Mandal, PhD, Surabhi Pandey, PhD, Sze-chuan Suen, MS, Eran Bendavid, MD, Andrew S Azman, PhD, David W Dowdy, PhD, Nicolas Bacaër, PhD, Allison S Rhines, PhD, Prof. Marcus W Feldman, PhD, Andreas Handel, PhD, Prof. Christopher C Whalen, MD, Stewart T Chang, PhD, Bradley G Wagner, PhD, Philip A Eckhoff, PhD, James M Trauer, PhD, Justin T Denholm, PhD, Prof. Emma S McBryde, PhD, Ted Cohen, DPH, Prof. Joshua A Salomon, PhD, Carel Pretorius, PhD, Marek Lalli, MSc, Jeffrey W Eaton, PhD, Delia Boccia, PhD, Mehran Hosseini, MD, Gabriela B Gomez, PhD, Suvanand Sahu, MD, Colleen Daniels, MA, Lucica Ditiu, MD, Daniel P Chin, MD, Lixia Wang, MS, Vineet K Chadha, MD, Kiran Rade, MPhil, Puneet Dewan, MD, Piotr Hippner, MSc, Salome Charalambous, PhD, Prof. Alison D Grant, Prof. Gavin Churchyard, PhD, Yogan Pillay, PhD, L David Mametja, MPH, Michael E Kimerling, MD, Anna Vassall, PhD, Richard G White, PhD
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: Elsevier 2016-11-01
Series:The Lancet Global Health
Online Access:http://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S2214109X16301991