預測競賽, 解釋預測機構的行為
=== Paradoxically, pepole avoid being totally the same with others to keep their uniquness but follow the fads to avoid isolation. We construct a simple model under this concept to explain the empirical findings of forecasters’ behavior such as old forecasters are more radical and late forecast...
Main Authors: | , |
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Language: | 中文 |
Published: |
國立政治大學
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Online Access: | http://thesis.lib.nccu.edu.tw/cgi-bin/cdrfb3/gsweb.cgi?o=dstdcdr&i=sid=%22G0096258018%22. |