| Summary: | 碩士 === 逢甲大學 === 土木及水利工程研究所 === 84 === A multi-tributaries Muskingum model is developed based on
mass conservation law by including the tributaries and lateral
inflow in the basin. Using the inflow, a genetic algorithm is
also constructed to process K（tributary storage constant）, X（
weighting factor of tributary inflow） and EMBED Equation （
ratio of lateral flow and inflow） parameter estimation on the
model. In practical simulation of flood events on Wu-Chi Creek,
taking the Chin-Fon Bridge, the Chi-nan Bridge and the Nan-kang
Bridge be the upstream gaging station and the Ta-tu Bridge be
the downstream gaging station. The results of calibration and
verification shows that the model simulation can be expressed
the characteristics of flood propagation. In the meantime, we
use the mean first order second moment method to estimate the
95% confidence interval to propose flood propagation reference
in the furture.
|
|---|
