The Impact of Population Ageing on Long Term Energy Demand

• Main Authors: Lu, Chun-chieh, 呂俊杰
• Other Authors: Huei-chu Liao
• Format: Others
• Language: zh-TW
• Published: 1998
• Online Access: http://ndltd.ncl.edu.tw/handle/77690725120253811906

碩士 === 淡江大學 === 產業經濟學系 === 86 === Residential and Commercial sector energy demand is increasing rapidly and turned out to be the major energy consumption end users in many developed countries. While the aged consume large share of energy, it is important to study how the energy consumption will move ahead in the future with the stylized fact of population ageing in the world.The data from the 1993 Residential Energy Consumption Survey（RECS） are used in this research, which is published by the Energy Information Administration of U.S. Department of Energy. By applying the econometric analysis, this paper investigates the impact of population ageing on long term energy demand, and those factors influencing the residential energy consumption. The electricity and natural gas are selected as our research goal fuels due to their popularity in the residential sector. Except the fuels regression analysis, the end-uses fuel analysis is implemented also in this paper.Basic data analysis shows that the young households consume more energy than elderly households. However, the per-capita energy intensity among the old is higher than those of other age groups because the size of most elderly households is much smaller. By implementing the econometric analysis, this paper finds the elderly households use less electricity but more natural gas, particularly, more natural gas for space heating. Which indicates that more fuels for space heating should be supplied for the aged. It is believed that the demand side energy management will be improved by considering those evidences found in this paper. By the way, the study here can also upgrade related researches for our country.