| Summary: | 碩士 === 國立屏東商業技術學院 === 國際企業所 === 99 === Many nations worked hard to promote the multilateral trade negotiation and regional
fee trade agreement (RTA) after the World Trade Organization (WTO) failed in 2003. The
major nations of East Asian are approved 73 RTA with other negotiations result in
economical conformity in East Asian. China is acceded to Association of Southeast Asian
Nations (ASENA) in 2010. Most people supported that Japan and Korea will be acceded to
ASENA in 2012. We care marginalize Taiwan's economy due to our country will not be
acceded to ASENA by politics factors.
This study uses the Gravity model established by Bergstrand (1985) to analysis the
influence of regional economic integration in China, Taiwan, Japan, Korea, and ASEAN
members from 2001 to 2010. We also analysis the influence on Taiwan’s trade flows after
China, Japan, Korea participate in ASEAN Free Trade Area in 2012.
The research results show that the GDP, population, exchange rate have positive effect
on bilateral trade flows in China, Japan Korea after they participate in ASEAN Free Trade
Area in 2012. Besides, the regional economical organizations have outstanding influence
between China, Japan and Korea. Taiwan will decrease the bilateral trade flows compare
with ASEAN members in 2012.
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