The Impact of East-Asia Regional Trade Agreement on Taiwan’s Export

• Main Authors: Jia-Yi Lin, 林佳億
• Other Authors: Tzu-Nien Liu
• Format: Others
• Language: zh-TW
• Published: 2011
• Online Access: http://ndltd.ncl.edu.tw/handle/44947454913305342036

碩士 === 國立屏東商業技術學院 === 國際企業所 === 99 === Many nations worked hard to promote the multilateral trade negotiation and regional fee trade agreement (RTA) after the World Trade Organization (WTO) failed in 2003. The major nations of East Asian are approved 73 RTA with other negotiations result in economical conformity in East Asian. China is acceded to Association of Southeast Asian Nations (ASENA) in 2010. Most people supported that Japan and Korea will be acceded to ASENA in 2012. We care marginalize Taiwan's economy due to our country will not be acceded to ASENA by politics factors. This study uses the Gravity model established by Bergstrand (1985) to analysis the influence of regional economic integration in China, Taiwan, Japan, Korea, and ASEAN members from 2001 to 2010. We also analysis the influence on Taiwan’s trade flows after China, Japan, Korea participate in ASEAN Free Trade Area in 2012. The research results show that the GDP, population, exchange rate have positive effect on bilateral trade flows in China, Japan Korea after they participate in ASEAN Free Trade Area in 2012. Besides, the regional economical organizations have outstanding influence between China, Japan and Korea. Taiwan will decrease the bilateral trade flows compare with ASEAN members in 2012.