| Summary: | 碩士 === 元智大學 === 工業工程與管理學系 === 107 === The air cargo industry has become one of the important transportation channels due to the change of consumption patterns in today's society. The rapid demand for consumers and high-value products, the shortening of product life cycle and the rise of e-commerce are all potential factors in the air cargo industry. Fourth Party Logistics In the face of uncertain customer demand and other fourth-party logistics competition to compete with airline cargo space, how to make the most suitable order quantity decision, avoid excessive cost of out of stock due to inability to satisfy customers or when customer demand is too low Excessive cost. This study proposes a model based on newsboy theory as a model for the discussion of estimated order quantities by two homogeneous fourth-party logistics, which incorporates the theory of the game, and discusses the single-stage two-stage ordering model according to the above. The factors are used to find the optimal ordering plan for the fourth party logistics in different situations by forecasting customer demand, competing order quantity forecasting and cost control.
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