Modeling of defensive actions for protecting military and civilian facilities from massive wave attacks by enemy strike drones

• Published in: Радіоелектронні і комп'ютерні системи
• Main Authors: Oleg Fedorovich, Olga Malyeyeva, Andrіi Humennyi, Oleksandr Leshchenko, Yuliia Leshchenko, Ganna Pliekhova
• Format: Article
• Language: English
• Published: National Aerospace University «Kharkiv Aviation Institute» 2025-09-01
• Subjects: anti-drone defense; justification of threatening launch sites of enemy strike drones; protection of military and civilian facilities; optimization of the defense potential of protection against strike drones; linguistic variables for qualitative expert as
• Online Access: https://nti.khai.edu/ojs/index.php/reks/article/view/3142
• ISSN: 1814-4225; 2663-2012

The conditions of modern hybrid warfare require the creation of the necessary defense potential to protect military facilities and critical infrastructure from massive attacks by enemy strike drones. A feature of repelling drone air attacks is the use of a diverse arsenal of defensive means (anti-drone means (ADM), electronic warfare (EW), anti-aircraft warfare (AAW), interceptor drones (ID), etc.). Therefore, it is relevant to conduct research on modeling defensive actions and planning the protection of military and civilian facilities from attacking missions of enemy strike drones. The subject of the study is a mathematical and simulation model used for planning the protection of military and civilian facilities against swarm attacks by enemy strike drones.The purpose of the study is to simulate the planning of defensive actions against enemy air attacks, under conditions of limited capabilities, which will ensure the rational use of military resources. Tasks to be solved: analyze the sequence of defensive actions; analyze the most threatening places for the formation and launch of enemy strike drones; justify the creation of the defense of critical military and civilian facilities; create the necessary defense potential to protect critical military and civilian facilities; model possible scenarios for the launch and movement of enemy strike drones; demonstrate the feasibility and effectiveness of the proposed approach using an illustrated example. Mathematical methods and models used: system analysis of defensive anti-drone actions; qualitative assessment of defensive action options using linguistic variables; lexicographic ordering of options to highlight relevant locations for the protection of military and civilian facilities; integer (boolean) programming method to substantiate the defensive potential of protection, in conditions of limited capabilities; multi-agent modeling to analyze and predict possible scenarios of an enemy attack mission using strike drones. The following results were obtained: a systematic presentation of planning defensive actions against massive attacks by enemy strike drones was proposed; the most threatening places for the formation and launch of swarms of enemy strike drones were substantiated; the relevant locations of anti-drone means for protecting military facilities and dual infrastructure facilities were identified; the necessary defense potential was created to protect against air attacks in conditions of limited capabilities; a multi-agent simulation model was developed to analyze and predict possible scenarios for the launch and flight of enemy strike drones to the locations of critical military and civilian facilities. Conclusions. The results of the study allow us to substantiate and plan defensive anti-drone actions to protect military facilities and dual-purpose infrastructure facilities. The scientific novelty of the proposed approach lies in the scientific substantiation of defensive actions to protect military and civilian facilities from massive attacks by enemy strike drones based on the use of the developed complex of original and new mathematical and simulation models.