Arctic sea ice reduction and European cold winters in CMIP5 climate change experiments

European winter climate and its possible relationship with the Arctic sea ice reduction in the recent past and future as simulated by the models of the Climate Model Intercomparison Project phase 5 (CMIP5) is investigated, with focus on the cold winters. While Europe will warm overall in the future,...

وصف كامل

التفاصيل البيبلوغرافية
الحاوية / القاعدة:Geophysical Research Letters
المؤلفون الرئيسيون: Shuting Yang, Jens H. Christensen
التنسيق: مقال
اللغة:الإنجليزية
منشور في: Wiley 2012-10-01
الموضوعات:
الوصول للمادة أونلاين:https://doi.org/10.1029/2012GL053338
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author Shuting Yang
Jens H. Christensen
author_facet Shuting Yang
Jens H. Christensen
author_sort Shuting Yang
collection DOAJ
container_title Geophysical Research Letters
description European winter climate and its possible relationship with the Arctic sea ice reduction in the recent past and future as simulated by the models of the Climate Model Intercomparison Project phase 5 (CMIP5) is investigated, with focus on the cold winters. While Europe will warm overall in the future, we find that episodes of cold months will continue to occur and there remains substantial probability for the occurrence of cold winters in Europe linked with sea ice reduction in the Barents and Kara Sea sector. A pattern of cold‐European warm‐Arctic anomaly is typical for the cold events in the future, which is associated with the negative phase of the Arctic Oscillation. These patterns, however, differ from the corresponding patterns in the historical period, and underline the connection between European cold winter events and Arctic sea ice reduction.
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spelling doaj-art-a33c7f3e0f0d4afd9dfc544e04eaef4e2025-10-17T04:56:49ZengWileyGeophysical Research Letters0094-82761944-80072012-10-013920n/an/a10.1029/2012GL053338Arctic sea ice reduction and European cold winters in CMIP5 climate change experimentsShuting Yang0Jens H. Christensen1Danish Meteorological Institute, Danish Climate Centre, Copenhagen, DenmarkDanish Meteorological Institute, Danish Climate Centre, Copenhagen, DenmarkEuropean winter climate and its possible relationship with the Arctic sea ice reduction in the recent past and future as simulated by the models of the Climate Model Intercomparison Project phase 5 (CMIP5) is investigated, with focus on the cold winters. While Europe will warm overall in the future, we find that episodes of cold months will continue to occur and there remains substantial probability for the occurrence of cold winters in Europe linked with sea ice reduction in the Barents and Kara Sea sector. A pattern of cold‐European warm‐Arctic anomaly is typical for the cold events in the future, which is associated with the negative phase of the Arctic Oscillation. These patterns, however, differ from the corresponding patterns in the historical period, and underline the connection between European cold winter events and Arctic sea ice reduction.https://doi.org/10.1029/2012GL053338Arctic sea ice reductionBarents and Kara SeasCMIP5European cold winter
spellingShingle Shuting Yang
Jens H. Christensen
Arctic sea ice reduction and European cold winters in CMIP5 climate change experiments
Arctic sea ice reduction
Barents and Kara Seas
CMIP5
European cold winter
title Arctic sea ice reduction and European cold winters in CMIP5 climate change experiments
title_full Arctic sea ice reduction and European cold winters in CMIP5 climate change experiments
title_fullStr Arctic sea ice reduction and European cold winters in CMIP5 climate change experiments
title_full_unstemmed Arctic sea ice reduction and European cold winters in CMIP5 climate change experiments
title_short Arctic sea ice reduction and European cold winters in CMIP5 climate change experiments
title_sort arctic sea ice reduction and european cold winters in cmip5 climate change experiments
topic Arctic sea ice reduction
Barents and Kara Seas
CMIP5
European cold winter
url https://doi.org/10.1029/2012GL053338
work_keys_str_mv AT shutingyang arcticseaicereductionandeuropeancoldwintersincmip5climatechangeexperiments
AT jenshchristensen arcticseaicereductionandeuropeancoldwintersincmip5climatechangeexperiments