The Python Energy Balance model for Snow and Ice (PEBSI): Application and tradeoff analysis on Gulkana Glacier, Alaska

Glacier energy-balance models offer mechanistic insights into glacier mass balance under a changing climate, yet their considerable data requirements hinder large-scale applications. Here we present the open-source Python Energy Balance model for Snow and Ice (PEBSI), which includes physically based...

Full description

Bibliographic Details
Published in:Journal of Glaciology
Main Authors: Claire V. Wilson, David R. Rounce, Louis Sass, Albin Wells, Emily Baker, Mark Flanner, S. McKenzie Skiles
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: Cambridge University Press 2026-01-01
Subjects:
Online Access:https://www.cambridge.org/core/product/identifier/S0022143026101543/type/journal_article
_version_ 1871774198504882176
author Claire V. Wilson
David R. Rounce
Louis Sass
Albin Wells
Emily Baker
Mark Flanner
S. McKenzie Skiles
author_facet Claire V. Wilson
David R. Rounce
Louis Sass
Albin Wells
Emily Baker
Mark Flanner
S. McKenzie Skiles
author_sort Claire V. Wilson
collection DOAJ
container_title Journal of Glaciology
description Glacier energy-balance models offer mechanistic insights into glacier mass balance under a changing climate, yet their considerable data requirements hinder large-scale applications. Here we present the open-source Python Energy Balance model for Snow and Ice (PEBSI), which includes physically based albedo evolution using the Snow, Ice and Aerosol Radiative (SNICAR) model. PEBSI is calibrated and validated using robust in situ data from Gulkana Glacier, Alaska from 2000 to 2024. Simulations forced with original and bias-corrected climate reanalysis data show that statistically downscaling reanalysis data with in situ observations is necessary to reproduce summer mass balance (mean absolute error [MAE] = 0.75 m w.e. vs 0.22 m w.e., respectively). A grid search across two parameters, a precipitation factor and a densification parameter, reveals tradeoffs in performance compared to seasonal mass balance and end-of-winter snow density and depth. No single combination of parameters minimizes all errors, underscoring the inherent overparameterization of energy-balance models and challenges with translating coarse climate data to the glacier scale. The calibrated model successfully simulates the 2024 melt season, agreeing with surface-height change (MAE = 0.48 m) and albedo (MAE = 0.066) observations. Moving forward, PEBSI provides unique opportunities to quantify albedo feedbacks and their impact on present and future glacier mass loss.
format Article
id doaj-art-e97589cdd4fd44bdbd2b938d11a69cbc
institution Directory of Open Access Journals
issn 0022-1430
1727-5652
language English
publishDate 2026-01-01
publisher Cambridge University Press
record_format Article
spelling doaj-art-e97589cdd4fd44bdbd2b938d11a69cbc2026-06-02T08:05:26ZengCambridge University PressJournal of Glaciology0022-14301727-56522026-01-017210.1017/jog.2026.10154The Python Energy Balance model for Snow and Ice (PEBSI): Application and tradeoff analysis on Gulkana Glacier, AlaskaClaire V. Wilson0https://orcid.org/0009-0008-6281-3441David R. Rounce1https://orcid.org/0000-0002-4481-4191Louis Sass2https://orcid.org/0000-0003-4677-029XAlbin Wells3https://orcid.org/0009-0006-6472-3664Emily Baker4Mark Flanner5S. McKenzie Skiles6https://orcid.org/0000-0002-7726-6355Department of Civil and Environmental Engineering, Carnegie Mellon Universityhttps://ror.org/05x2bcf33, Pittsburgh, PA, USADepartment of Civil and Environmental Engineering, Carnegie Mellon Universityhttps://ror.org/05x2bcf33, Pittsburgh, PA, USAU.S. Geological Survey Alaska Science Center, Anchorage, AK, USADepartment of Civil and Environmental Engineering, Carnegie Mellon Universityhttps://ror.org/05x2bcf33, Pittsburgh, PA, USAU.S. Geological Survey Alaska Science Center, Anchorage, AK, USADepartment of Climate and Space Sciences and Engineering, University of Michiganhttps://ror.org/00jmfr291, Ann Arbor, MI, USASchool of Environment, Society & Sustainability, University of Utahhttps://ror.org/03r0ha626, Salt Lake City, UT, USAGlacier energy-balance models offer mechanistic insights into glacier mass balance under a changing climate, yet their considerable data requirements hinder large-scale applications. Here we present the open-source Python Energy Balance model for Snow and Ice (PEBSI), which includes physically based albedo evolution using the Snow, Ice and Aerosol Radiative (SNICAR) model. PEBSI is calibrated and validated using robust in situ data from Gulkana Glacier, Alaska from 2000 to 2024. Simulations forced with original and bias-corrected climate reanalysis data show that statistically downscaling reanalysis data with in situ observations is necessary to reproduce summer mass balance (mean absolute error [MAE] = 0.75 m w.e. vs 0.22 m w.e., respectively). A grid search across two parameters, a precipitation factor and a densification parameter, reveals tradeoffs in performance compared to seasonal mass balance and end-of-winter snow density and depth. No single combination of parameters minimizes all errors, underscoring the inherent overparameterization of energy-balance models and challenges with translating coarse climate data to the glacier scale. The calibrated model successfully simulates the 2024 melt season, agreeing with surface-height change (MAE = 0.48 m) and albedo (MAE = 0.066) observations. Moving forward, PEBSI provides unique opportunities to quantify albedo feedbacks and their impact on present and future glacier mass loss.https://www.cambridge.org/core/product/identifier/S0022143026101543/type/journal_articleenergy balanceglacier meteorologyglacier modellingmountain glacierssnow/ice surface processes
spellingShingle Claire V. Wilson
David R. Rounce
Louis Sass
Albin Wells
Emily Baker
Mark Flanner
S. McKenzie Skiles
The Python Energy Balance model for Snow and Ice (PEBSI): Application and tradeoff analysis on Gulkana Glacier, Alaska
energy balance
glacier meteorology
glacier modelling
mountain glaciers
snow/ice surface processes
title The Python Energy Balance model for Snow and Ice (PEBSI): Application and tradeoff analysis on Gulkana Glacier, Alaska
title_full The Python Energy Balance model for Snow and Ice (PEBSI): Application and tradeoff analysis on Gulkana Glacier, Alaska
title_fullStr The Python Energy Balance model for Snow and Ice (PEBSI): Application and tradeoff analysis on Gulkana Glacier, Alaska
title_full_unstemmed The Python Energy Balance model for Snow and Ice (PEBSI): Application and tradeoff analysis on Gulkana Glacier, Alaska
title_short The Python Energy Balance model for Snow and Ice (PEBSI): Application and tradeoff analysis on Gulkana Glacier, Alaska
title_sort python energy balance model for snow and ice pebsi application and tradeoff analysis on gulkana glacier alaska
topic energy balance
glacier meteorology
glacier modelling
mountain glaciers
snow/ice surface processes
url https://www.cambridge.org/core/product/identifier/S0022143026101543/type/journal_article
work_keys_str_mv AT clairevwilson thepythonenergybalancemodelforsnowandicepebsiapplicationandtradeoffanalysisongulkanaglacieralaska
AT davidrrounce thepythonenergybalancemodelforsnowandicepebsiapplicationandtradeoffanalysisongulkanaglacieralaska
AT louissass thepythonenergybalancemodelforsnowandicepebsiapplicationandtradeoffanalysisongulkanaglacieralaska
AT albinwells thepythonenergybalancemodelforsnowandicepebsiapplicationandtradeoffanalysisongulkanaglacieralaska
AT emilybaker thepythonenergybalancemodelforsnowandicepebsiapplicationandtradeoffanalysisongulkanaglacieralaska
AT markflanner thepythonenergybalancemodelforsnowandicepebsiapplicationandtradeoffanalysisongulkanaglacieralaska
AT smckenzieskiles thepythonenergybalancemodelforsnowandicepebsiapplicationandtradeoffanalysisongulkanaglacieralaska
AT clairevwilson pythonenergybalancemodelforsnowandicepebsiapplicationandtradeoffanalysisongulkanaglacieralaska
AT davidrrounce pythonenergybalancemodelforsnowandicepebsiapplicationandtradeoffanalysisongulkanaglacieralaska
AT louissass pythonenergybalancemodelforsnowandicepebsiapplicationandtradeoffanalysisongulkanaglacieralaska
AT albinwells pythonenergybalancemodelforsnowandicepebsiapplicationandtradeoffanalysisongulkanaglacieralaska
AT emilybaker pythonenergybalancemodelforsnowandicepebsiapplicationandtradeoffanalysisongulkanaglacieralaska
AT markflanner pythonenergybalancemodelforsnowandicepebsiapplicationandtradeoffanalysisongulkanaglacieralaska
AT smckenzieskiles pythonenergybalancemodelforsnowandicepebsiapplicationandtradeoffanalysisongulkanaglacieralaska