Comparing the loss of life expectancy at birth during the 2020 and 1918 pandemics in six European countries

The COVID-19 pandemic that reached Europe in 2020 has often been compared to the Spanish flu pandemic of 1918. In this article, we compare the two pandemics in terms of their respective impacts on the loss of life expectancy at birth in six European countries (France, Italy, the Netherlands, S...

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Published in:Vienna Yearbook of Population Research
Main Authors: Valentin Rousson, Fred Paccaud, Isabella Locatelli
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: Austrian Academy of Sciences Press 2022-12-01
Online Access:https://austriaca.at/?arp=0x003da265
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author Valentin Rousson
Fred Paccaud
Isabella Locatelli
author_facet Valentin Rousson
Fred Paccaud
Isabella Locatelli
author_sort Valentin Rousson
collection DOAJ
container_title Vienna Yearbook of Population Research
description The COVID-19 pandemic that reached Europe in 2020 has often been compared to the Spanish flu pandemic of 1918. In this article, we compare the two pandemics in terms of their respective impacts on the loss of life expectancy at birth in six European countries (France, Italy, the Netherlands, Spain, Sweden, Switzerland) by estimating life expectancy in 2020 using Eurostat data. We found that the loss of life expectancy at birth was up to 20 times larger between 1917 and 1918 than between 2019 and 2020. A decomposition of these losses clearly shows that in all six countries, the main contributors were older age groups in 2020 and younger age groups in 1918. These observations are consistent with evidence indicating that most COVID-19 fatalities were among the elderly, while a majority of Spanish flu fatalities were among the young.
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spelling doaj-art-e9905d9ec8d54f8ba916d997a5fc428f2025-08-19T22:59:21ZengAustrian Academy of Sciences PressVienna Yearbook of Population Research1728-44141728-53052022-12-012052754210.1553/populationyearbook2022.dat.7Comparing the loss of life expectancy at birth during the 2020 and 1918 pandemics in six European countriesValentin Roussonhttps://orcid.org/0000-0001-8092-4446Fred Paccaudhttps://orcid.org/0000-0002-7583-8153Isabella Locatellihttps://orcid.org/0000-0003-0870-1461 The COVID-19 pandemic that reached Europe in 2020 has often been compared to the Spanish flu pandemic of 1918. In this article, we compare the two pandemics in terms of their respective impacts on the loss of life expectancy at birth in six European countries (France, Italy, the Netherlands, Spain, Sweden, Switzerland) by estimating life expectancy in 2020 using Eurostat data. We found that the loss of life expectancy at birth was up to 20 times larger between 1917 and 1918 than between 2019 and 2020. A decomposition of these losses clearly shows that in all six countries, the main contributors were older age groups in 2020 and younger age groups in 1918. These observations are consistent with evidence indicating that most COVID-19 fatalities were among the elderly, while a majority of Spanish flu fatalities were among the young.https://austriaca.at/?arp=0x003da265
spellingShingle Valentin Rousson
Fred Paccaud
Isabella Locatelli
Comparing the loss of life expectancy at birth during the 2020 and 1918 pandemics in six European countries
title Comparing the loss of life expectancy at birth during the 2020 and 1918 pandemics in six European countries
title_full Comparing the loss of life expectancy at birth during the 2020 and 1918 pandemics in six European countries
title_fullStr Comparing the loss of life expectancy at birth during the 2020 and 1918 pandemics in six European countries
title_full_unstemmed Comparing the loss of life expectancy at birth during the 2020 and 1918 pandemics in six European countries
title_short Comparing the loss of life expectancy at birth during the 2020 and 1918 pandemics in six European countries
title_sort comparing the loss of life expectancy at birth during the 2020 and 1918 pandemics in six european countries
url https://austriaca.at/?arp=0x003da265
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AT isabellalocatelli comparingthelossoflifeexpectancyatbirthduringthe2020and1918pandemicsinsixeuropeancountries