Climate Change, Risk and Grain Yields in China

Adopting Just and Pope (1978, 1979) style yield functions, this paper proposes a method to analyze the impacts of regional climate change on grain production in China. We find that changes in climate will affect grain production in North and South China differently. Specifically, it emerges that a 1...

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Bibliographic Details
Published in:Journal of Integrative Agriculture
Main Authors: Rainer Holst, Xiaohua Yu, Carola Grün
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: KeAi Communications Co., Ltd. 2013-07-01
Subjects:
Online Access:http://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S2095311913604359
Description
Summary:Adopting Just and Pope (1978, 1979) style yield functions, this paper proposes a method to analyze the impacts of regional climate change on grain production in China. We find that changes in climate will affect grain production in North and South China differently. Specifically, it emerges that a 1°C increase in annual average temperature could reduce national grain output by 1.45% (1.74% reduction in North China and 1.19% reduction in South China), while an increase in total annual precipitation of around 100 mm could increase national grain output by 1.31% (3.0% increase in North China and 0.59% reduction in South China).
ISSN:2095-3119