Prediction of congenital heart disease for newborns: comparative analysis of Holt-Winters exponential smoothing and autoregressive integrated moving average models

Abstract Objective To describe the temporal trend of the number of new congenital heart disease (CHD) cases among newborns in Jinhua from 2019 to 2020 and explored an appropriate model to fit and forecast the tendency of CHD. Methods Data on CHD from 2019 to 2020 was collected from a health informat...

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Bibliographic Details

Published in:	BMC Medical Research Methodology
Main Authors:	Weize Xu, Zehua Shao, Hongliang Lou, Jianchuan Qi, Jihua Zhu, Die Li, Qiang Shu
Format:	Article
Language:	English
Published:	BMC 2022-10-01
Subjects:	Congenital heart disease Newborns Time series Holt-Winters exponential smoothing Autoregressive integrated moving average model
Online Access:	https://doi.org/10.1186/s12874-022-01719-1