Seasonal synchronization and unpredictability in epidemic models with waning immunity and healthcare thresholds

Abstract This paper explores a model integrating healthcare capacity thresholds and seasonal effects to investigate the synchronization of epidemic cycles with seasonal transmission rates, using parameters reflective of the COVID-19 pandemic. Through bifurcation analysis in the epi-seasonal domain,...

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Bibliographic Details
Published in:Scientific Reports
Main Authors: Veronika Eclerová, Deeptajyoti Sen, Lenka Přibylová
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: Nature Portfolio 2025-05-01
Subjects:
SIRS model
Seasonality
Bifurcation
Chaos
Quasiperiodicity
Online Access:https://doi.org/10.1038/s41598-025-01467-4

Internet

https://doi.org/10.1038/s41598-025-01467-4

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