Distinguishing Spread Among Ensemble Members Between Drought and Flood Indian Summer Monsoon Years in the Past 58 Years (1958–2015) Reforecasts

Abstract This study examines the different characteristics of ensemble spread (ESP) between drought and flood years of Indian summer monsoon (ISM) during June to September mean using the Climate Forecast System version 2 (CFSv2). We have analyzed a set of 20‐member ensemble seasonal reforecasts for...

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Bibliographic Details

Published in:	Geophysical Research Letters
Main Authors:	Ravi P. Shukla, Chul‐Su Shin
Format:	Article
Language:	English
Published:	Wiley 2020-02-01
Subjects:	ensemble spread among ensemble members CFSv2 seasonal reforecasts forecast uncertainty prediction skill drought and flood Indian summer monsoon rainfall years
Online Access:	https://doi.org/10.1029/2019GL086586