A novel probabilistic risk analysis to determine the vulnerability of ecosystems to extreme climatic events

We present a simple method of probabilistic risk analysis for ecosystems. The only requirements are time series—modelled or measured—of environment and ecosystem variables. Risk is defined as the product of hazard probability and ecosystem vulnerability. Vulnerability is the expected difference in e...

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Bibliographic Details

Published in:	Environmental Research Letters
Main Authors:	Marcel van Oijen, Christian Beer, Wolfgang Cramer, Anja Rammig, Markus Reichstein, Susanne Rolinski, Jean-Francois Soussana
Format:	Article
Language:	English
Published:	IOP Publishing 2013-01-01
Subjects:	carbon cycle drought uncertainty vulnerability
Online Access:	https://doi.org/10.1088/1748-9326/8/1/015032