Back-calculating the incidence of infection of leprosy in a Bayesian framework

Abstract Background The number of new leprosy cases reported annually is falling worldwide, but remains relatively high in some populations. Because of the long and variable periods between infection, onset of disease, and diagnosis, the recently detected cases are a reflection of infection many yea...

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Bibliographic Details

Published in:	Parasites & Vectors
Main Authors:	Ronald E. Crump, Graham F. Medley
Format:	Article
Language:	English
Published:	BMC 2015-10-01
Subjects:	Leprosy Hansen’s disease Back-calculation Forecast Surveillance Thailand
Online Access:	https://doi.org/10.1186/s13071-015-1142-5