Too soon to tell if the US intelligence community prediction market is more accurate than intelligence reports: Commentary on Stastny and Lehner (2018)
Stastny and Lehner (2018) reported a study comparing the forecast accuracy of a US intelligence community prediction market (ICPM) to traditionally produced intelligence reports. Five analysts unaffiliated with the intelligence reports imputed forecasts from the reports after stating their personal...
| الحاوية / القاعدة: | Judgment and Decision Making |
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| المؤلف الرئيسي: | |
| التنسيق: | مقال |
| اللغة: | الإنجليزية |
| منشور في: |
Cambridge University Press
2019-05-01
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| الموضوعات: | |
| الوصول للمادة أونلاين: | http://journal.sjdm.org/19/190417/jdm190417.pdf |