Dynamical Precursors for Statistical Prediction of Stratospheric Sudden Warming Events

Abstract This work explores dynamical arguments for statistical prediction of stratospheric sudden warming events (SSWs). Based on climate model output, it focuses on two predictors, upward wave activity in the lower stratosphere and meridional potential vorticity gradient in the upper stratosphere,...

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書誌詳細

出版年:	Geophysical Research Letters
主要な著者:	M. Jucker, T. Reichler
フォーマット:	論文
言語:	英語
出版事項:	Wiley 2018-12-01
主題:	stratospheric sudden warming stratosphere‐troposphere coupling seasonal prediction statistical analysis climate model
オンライン･アクセス:	https://doi.org/10.1029/2018GL080691