Forecasting impact of demographic changes on the expenditures of healthcare and social security in Italy from 2022 to 2060

Abstract Background Europe’s demographic transition has led to an ageing population, posing challenges for healthcare and pension systems. This study aims to forecast healthcare and social security expenditure in Italy over the next four decades, starting from the different population projection sce...

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Bibliographic Details

Published in:	Archives of Public Health
Main Authors:	Francesco Conrado, Gianmarco Giacomini, Pietro Marraffa, Federica Golzio, Valeria Tagliabò, Maria Michela Gianino
Format:	Article
Language:	English
Published:	BMC 2025-09-01
Subjects:	Demographic transition Social security expenditure Healthcare expenditure Bayesian-VAR models Italy Policy implications
Online Access:	https://doi.org/10.1186/s13690-025-01719-9