Does the Environmental Kuznets Curve for CO<sub>2</sub> Emissions Exist for Rwanda? Evidence from Bootstrapped Rolling-Window Granger Causality Test

This paper examined the causal relationship between economic growth and carbon dioxide emissions (CO<sub>2</sub>) in Rwanda using annual data from 1960–2014. The study was conducted within the framework of the environmental Kuznets curve (EKC) hypothesis using the rolling-window bootstra...

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Bibliographic Details
Main Authors: Felix Nutakor, Sylvestre Bizumuremyi, Jinke Li, Wei Liu
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: MDPI AG 2020-10-01
Series:Sustainability
Subjects:
Online Access:https://www.mdpi.com/2071-1050/12/20/8636
Description
Summary:This paper examined the causal relationship between economic growth and carbon dioxide emissions (CO<sub>2</sub>) in Rwanda using annual data from 1960–2014. The study was conducted within the framework of the environmental Kuznets curve (EKC) hypothesis using the rolling-window bootstrap Granger causality test approach with a rolling-window size of 15 years. The methodology allows for non-constancy in the parameters of the vector autoregression (VAR) model in the short run as well as in the long run. The study found bi-direction causality between the real gross domestic product (GDP) and CO<sub>2</sub> emissions in metric tons per capita. The results from the rolling-window bootstrap Granger causality test show that GDP negatively influenced CO<sub>2</sub> emissions in the 1976–1977, 1990–1993, 2005–2006, and 2007–2013 sub-sample periods. This result depicts a monotonically decreasing EKC, contrary to the standard EKC relationship. The downward-sloping EKC was explained by the transition of the Rwandan economy from an industrial-based economy to a service-based economy. Further, a feedback effect from CO<sub>2</sub> emissions to the economy was established.
ISSN:2071-1050