Bayes’ Rule for Clinicians: An Introduction

Bayes’ Rule is a way of calculating conditional probabilities. It is difficult to find an explanation of its relevance that is both mathematically comprehensive and easily accessible to all readers. This article tries to fill that void, by laying out the nature of Bayes’ Rule and its implications fo...

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Main Author: Chris F Westbury
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: Frontiers Media S.A. 2010-11-01
Series:Frontiers in Psychology
Subjects:
Online Access:http://journal.frontiersin.org/Journal/10.3389/fpsyg.2010.00192/full
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spelling doaj-0dcd940eb5094b8c9dd8aca6db0282f22020-11-24T23:56:37ZengFrontiers Media S.A.Frontiers in Psychology1664-10782010-11-01110.3389/fpsyg.2010.001922149Bayes’ Rule for Clinicians: An IntroductionChris F Westbury0University of AlbertaBayes’ Rule is a way of calculating conditional probabilities. It is difficult to find an explanation of its relevance that is both mathematically comprehensive and easily accessible to all readers. This article tries to fill that void, by laying out the nature of Bayes’ Rule and its implications for clinicians in a way that assumes little or no background in probability theory. It builds on Meehl & Rosen’s (1955) classic paper, by laying out algebraic proofs that they simply allude to, and by providing extremely simple and intuitively accessible examples of the concepts that they assumed their reader understood, and provides examples of how the rule applies in a variety of clinical settings.http://journal.frontiersin.org/Journal/10.3389/fpsyg.2010.00192/fulldiagnosisbayes ruleconditional probablityformal methods in diagnosisprobability theory
collection DOAJ
language English
format Article
sources DOAJ
author Chris F Westbury
spellingShingle Chris F Westbury
Bayes’ Rule for Clinicians: An Introduction
Frontiers in Psychology
diagnosis
bayes rule
conditional probablity
formal methods in diagnosis
probability theory
author_facet Chris F Westbury
author_sort Chris F Westbury
title Bayes’ Rule for Clinicians: An Introduction
title_short Bayes’ Rule for Clinicians: An Introduction
title_full Bayes’ Rule for Clinicians: An Introduction
title_fullStr Bayes’ Rule for Clinicians: An Introduction
title_full_unstemmed Bayes’ Rule for Clinicians: An Introduction
title_sort bayes’ rule for clinicians: an introduction
publisher Frontiers Media S.A.
series Frontiers in Psychology
issn 1664-1078
publishDate 2010-11-01
description Bayes’ Rule is a way of calculating conditional probabilities. It is difficult to find an explanation of its relevance that is both mathematically comprehensive and easily accessible to all readers. This article tries to fill that void, by laying out the nature of Bayes’ Rule and its implications for clinicians in a way that assumes little or no background in probability theory. It builds on Meehl & Rosen’s (1955) classic paper, by laying out algebraic proofs that they simply allude to, and by providing extremely simple and intuitively accessible examples of the concepts that they assumed their reader understood, and provides examples of how the rule applies in a variety of clinical settings.
topic diagnosis
bayes rule
conditional probablity
formal methods in diagnosis
probability theory
url http://journal.frontiersin.org/Journal/10.3389/fpsyg.2010.00192/full
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