Using a mixture of experts’ approach to solve the forecasting task

The forecasting problem appears frequently in the aviation industry (demand forecasting, air transport movement forecasting, etc.). In this article, a new approach based on multiple neural networks of different topologies is introduced. An algorithm was tested on real data and showed better results...

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Main Authors: Victor Sineglazov, Elena Chumachenko, Vladyslav Gorbatyuk
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: Vilnius Gediminas Technical University 2014-10-01
Series:Aviation
Subjects:
Online Access:http://journals.vgtu.lt/index.php/Aviation/article/view/2939
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spelling doaj-13f877e6d9fe4b3cb2c20e644430e1972021-07-02T03:10:11ZengVilnius Gediminas Technical UniversityAviation1648-77881822-41802014-10-0118310.3846/16487788.2014.9698832939Using a mixture of experts’ approach to solve the forecasting taskVictor Sineglazov0Elena Chumachenko1Vladyslav Gorbatyuk2Technical University of Ukraine “KPI”, 03056 Peremogy Ave 37, Kiev, UkraineTechnical University of Ukraine “KPI”, 03056 Peremogy Ave 37, Kiev, UkraineTechnical University of Ukraine “KPI”, 03056 Peremogy Ave 37, Kiev, Ukraine The forecasting problem appears frequently in the aviation industry (demand forecasting, air transport movement forecasting, etc.). In this article, a new approach based on multiple neural networks of different topologies is introduced. An algorithm was tested on real data and showed better results compared to several other methods. This shows its suitability for further usage in aviation forecasting tasks. http://journals.vgtu.lt/index.php/Aviation/article/view/2939artificial neural networkforecasting methodmixture of expertsmean square prediction errorgroup method of data handlingtraining set
collection DOAJ
language English
format Article
sources DOAJ
author Victor Sineglazov
Elena Chumachenko
Vladyslav Gorbatyuk
spellingShingle Victor Sineglazov
Elena Chumachenko
Vladyslav Gorbatyuk
Using a mixture of experts’ approach to solve the forecasting task
Aviation
artificial neural network
forecasting method
mixture of experts
mean square prediction error
group method of data handling
training set
author_facet Victor Sineglazov
Elena Chumachenko
Vladyslav Gorbatyuk
author_sort Victor Sineglazov
title Using a mixture of experts’ approach to solve the forecasting task
title_short Using a mixture of experts’ approach to solve the forecasting task
title_full Using a mixture of experts’ approach to solve the forecasting task
title_fullStr Using a mixture of experts’ approach to solve the forecasting task
title_full_unstemmed Using a mixture of experts’ approach to solve the forecasting task
title_sort using a mixture of experts’ approach to solve the forecasting task
publisher Vilnius Gediminas Technical University
series Aviation
issn 1648-7788
1822-4180
publishDate 2014-10-01
description The forecasting problem appears frequently in the aviation industry (demand forecasting, air transport movement forecasting, etc.). In this article, a new approach based on multiple neural networks of different topologies is introduced. An algorithm was tested on real data and showed better results compared to several other methods. This shows its suitability for further usage in aviation forecasting tasks.
topic artificial neural network
forecasting method
mixture of experts
mean square prediction error
group method of data handling
training set
url http://journals.vgtu.lt/index.php/Aviation/article/view/2939
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AT elenachumachenko usingamixtureofexpertsapproachtosolvetheforecastingtask
AT vladyslavgorbatyuk usingamixtureofexpertsapproachtosolvetheforecastingtask
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