Estimating and interpreting a common stochastic component for the Brazilian industrial production index
This paper employs a state-space formulation to model a common stochastic component in four different series that constitute the aggregate index of industrial production in Brazil. This estimated common component is then interpreted as a measurement of behavior of fundamentals in the brazilian econo...
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Fundação Getúlio Vargas
2002-03-01
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Online Access: | http://www.scielo.br/scielo.php?script=sci_arttext&pid=S0034-71402002000100004 |
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doaj-149a55c6309c437889d3b9f73cce21c72020-11-24T23:11:25ZengFundação Getúlio VargasRevista Brasileira de Economia0034-71401806-91342002-03-0156110712010.1590/S0034-71402002000100004Estimating and interpreting a common stochastic component for the Brazilian industrial production indexPaulo PicchettiCelso ToledoThis paper employs a state-space formulation to model a common stochastic component in four different series that constitute the aggregate index of industrial production in Brazil. This estimated common component is then interpreted as a measurement of behavior of fundamentals in the brazilian economy and compared to the actual aggregate index.<br>A partir de uma formulação em espaço de estado, modelamos um componente estocástico comum para quatro séries distintas que compõem o índice agregado de produção industrial calculado pelo IBGE para o Brasil. Esse componente estocástico comum estimado é então interpretado como uma medida do comportamento de fundamentos da economia brasileira, e comparado com o índice agregado efetivo.http://www.scielo.br/scielo.php?script=sci_arttext&pid=S0034-71402002000100004time series econometricsbrazilian industrial production indexbusiness fluctuations |
collection |
DOAJ |
language |
English |
format |
Article |
sources |
DOAJ |
author |
Paulo Picchetti Celso Toledo |
spellingShingle |
Paulo Picchetti Celso Toledo Estimating and interpreting a common stochastic component for the Brazilian industrial production index Revista Brasileira de Economia time series econometrics brazilian industrial production index business fluctuations |
author_facet |
Paulo Picchetti Celso Toledo |
author_sort |
Paulo Picchetti |
title |
Estimating and interpreting a common stochastic component for the Brazilian industrial production index |
title_short |
Estimating and interpreting a common stochastic component for the Brazilian industrial production index |
title_full |
Estimating and interpreting a common stochastic component for the Brazilian industrial production index |
title_fullStr |
Estimating and interpreting a common stochastic component for the Brazilian industrial production index |
title_full_unstemmed |
Estimating and interpreting a common stochastic component for the Brazilian industrial production index |
title_sort |
estimating and interpreting a common stochastic component for the brazilian industrial production index |
publisher |
Fundação Getúlio Vargas |
series |
Revista Brasileira de Economia |
issn |
0034-7140 1806-9134 |
publishDate |
2002-03-01 |
description |
This paper employs a state-space formulation to model a common stochastic component in four different series that constitute the aggregate index of industrial production in Brazil. This estimated common component is then interpreted as a measurement of behavior of fundamentals in the brazilian economy and compared to the actual aggregate index.<br>A partir de uma formulação em espaço de estado, modelamos um componente estocástico comum para quatro séries distintas que compõem o índice agregado de produção industrial calculado pelo IBGE para o Brasil. Esse componente estocástico comum estimado é então interpretado como uma medida do comportamento de fundamentos da economia brasileira, e comparado com o índice agregado efetivo. |
topic |
time series econometrics brazilian industrial production index business fluctuations |
url |
http://www.scielo.br/scielo.php?script=sci_arttext&pid=S0034-71402002000100004 |
work_keys_str_mv |
AT paulopicchetti estimatingandinterpretingacommonstochasticcomponentforthebrazilianindustrialproductionindex AT celsotoledo estimatingandinterpretingacommonstochasticcomponentforthebrazilianindustrialproductionindex |
_version_ |
1725604530941329408 |