Assessing the Impact of the Realized Range on the (E)GARCH Volatility: Evidence from Brazil

This paper investigates whether the inclusion of the realized range as regressor in the (E)GARCH volatility equation would add information to the process improving out - of - sample forecasts performance and providing more accurate estimates of the volatility persistence. Sixte...

Full description

Bibliographic Details
Main Authors: Victor Bello Accioly, Beatriz Vaz de Melo Mendes
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: FUCAPE Business School 2016-01-01
Series:BBR: Brazilian Business Review
Subjects:
Online Access:http://www.redalyc.org/articulo.oa?id=123044248001
Description
Summary:This paper investigates whether the inclusion of the realized range as regressor in the (E)GARCH volatility equation would add information to the process improving out - of - sample forecasts performance and providing more accurate estimates of the volatility persistence. Sixteen range measures at eleven data frequencies are tested using Brazilian stock market data. Several measures for assessing the improvements in the fits were used including the likelihood ratio test, the persistence percentage de crease, and a formal statistical test for comparing forecasts errors from competing models. We found that for both the GARCH and EGARCH models there are always some realized range type at some frequencies bringing information to the volatility process with considerable persistence reduction.
ISSN:1807-734X