THE FARMLAND VALUATION REVISITED

Empirical research is scarce concerning the dynamics of farmland markets which inspire the decision to sell farmlands. This paper explores the real option to postpone the sale of land in farmland valuation. In this article, a real options approach is used to analyze farmland prices behavior using...

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Main Author: Xin Li
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: International Journal of Food and Agricultural Economics 2016-04-01
Series:International Journal of Food and Agricultural Economics
Subjects:
Online Access:http://www.foodandagriculturejournal.com/vol4.no2.pp11.pdf
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spelling doaj-3b8ec48b7c4e448cbd4a5177cccd465c2020-11-24T23:35:30ZengInternational Journal of Food and Agricultural EconomicsInternational Journal of Food and Agricultural Economics2147-89882147-89882016-04-01421124THE FARMLAND VALUATION REVISITEDXin Li0Department of Agricultural and Consumer Economics, University of Illinois at Urbana-Champaign, USAEmpirical research is scarce concerning the dynamics of farmland markets which inspire the decision to sell farmlands. This paper explores the real option to postpone the sale of land in farmland valuation. In this article, a real options approach is used to analyze farmland prices behavior using historical cash flow and land price information for Illinois. In general, rising farmland values are primarily dependent on agricultural commodity prices and interest rates. Results suggest that uncertainty about future growth and capital gains is a significant component of farmland market value. Furthermore, this research examines several shift factors of the option value of the state’s farmland by taking into account of uncertainty to improve the analysis of farmland market values. http://www.foodandagriculturejournal.com/vol4.no2.pp11.pdfCash rentfarmland valuepresent valuereal optionsuncertainty
collection DOAJ
language English
format Article
sources DOAJ
author Xin Li
spellingShingle Xin Li
THE FARMLAND VALUATION REVISITED
International Journal of Food and Agricultural Economics
Cash rent
farmland value
present value
real options
uncertainty
author_facet Xin Li
author_sort Xin Li
title THE FARMLAND VALUATION REVISITED
title_short THE FARMLAND VALUATION REVISITED
title_full THE FARMLAND VALUATION REVISITED
title_fullStr THE FARMLAND VALUATION REVISITED
title_full_unstemmed THE FARMLAND VALUATION REVISITED
title_sort farmland valuation revisited
publisher International Journal of Food and Agricultural Economics
series International Journal of Food and Agricultural Economics
issn 2147-8988
2147-8988
publishDate 2016-04-01
description Empirical research is scarce concerning the dynamics of farmland markets which inspire the decision to sell farmlands. This paper explores the real option to postpone the sale of land in farmland valuation. In this article, a real options approach is used to analyze farmland prices behavior using historical cash flow and land price information for Illinois. In general, rising farmland values are primarily dependent on agricultural commodity prices and interest rates. Results suggest that uncertainty about future growth and capital gains is a significant component of farmland market value. Furthermore, this research examines several shift factors of the option value of the state’s farmland by taking into account of uncertainty to improve the analysis of farmland market values.
topic Cash rent
farmland value
present value
real options
uncertainty
url http://www.foodandagriculturejournal.com/vol4.no2.pp11.pdf
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