THEORETICAL FOUNDATIONSFOR THE USING OF THE FORESIGHT METHODOLOGY IN PREDICTING OF INDUSTRIAL ENTERPRISES DEVELOPMENT

• Main Author: Ярослав Ігоревич Кологривов
• Format: Article
• Language: English
• Published: Igor Sikorsky Kyiv Polytechnic Institute 2015-06-01
• Series: Ekonomìčnij Vìsnik Nacìonalʹnogo Tehnìčnogo Unìversitetu Ukraïni "Kiïvsʹkij Polìtehnìčnij Institut"
• Subjects: Форсайт; передбачення; промислові підприємства; піраміда Аткіссона
• Online Access: http://ev.fmm.kpi.ua/article/view/44234

We have described the background of the development of methodologies and Foresight as well as made the analysis of technological insight retrospective. The limit of the practical application of existing approaches was also defined. Also we have outlined the issues with regard to predicting the possibility of using qualitative and quantitative methods. Furthermore we have determined the study purposes which are limited to predictions of industrial enterprises development. We have described the complex of techniques involved in the formulation of the Foresight principles, namely Delphi method and SWOT-analysis. What is more, we have cleared up the procedures of experts work and stages of SWOT-analysis the same as provided the strong factors of Ukrainian power industry. We`ve suggested a Foresight toolkit methodology using objective and subjective assessments. In addition we`ve described the conceptual framework, a set of works and procedure formulation scenarios of the development based on A. Atkisson’s pyramid (works on predictions). The conclusions have been eventually made as well as the prospective of the further research directions on the problems of Foresight were defined.