The impact of super typhoon lekima on the house collapse rate and quantification of the interactive impacts of natural and socioeconomic factors

• Main Authors: Juan Nie, Xiangxue Zhang, Chengdong Xu, Changxiu Cheng, Lianyou Liu, Xiaofei Ma, Na Xu
• Format: Article
• Language: English
• Published: Taylor & Francis Group 2021-01-01
• Series: Geomatics, Natural Hazards & Risk
• Subjects: geodetector; interactive effects; house collapse rate; super typhoon lekima; coastal regions
• Online Access: http://dx.doi.org/10.1080/19475705.2021.1927860
• ISSN: 1947-5705; 1947-5713

Typhoon disasters cause billions of dollars in losses each year, and many countries around the world are adversely affected by these events. Presently, the determinant powers of both natural and socioeconomic factors on disaster losses (such as the house collapse rate following a typhoon), as well as their interaction effects, remain unclear. In this study, the GeoDetector method was used to quantify the impacts of natural and socioeconomic factors and their interactions on the house collapse rate caused by Super Typhoon Lekima in 2019; and then detect the dominant factor, involving in the spatial pattern of house collapses was identified by the local indicators of spatial association (LISA) method. This study found that in addition to natural factors, socioeconomic factors also played a non-negligible role in the house collapse rate caused by Super Typhoon Lekima. The dominant factor was maximum precipitation, and the statistical value of q was 0.39. Next in importance were the elevation and maximum wind speed. Among the interactive effects of 14 influencing factors, the interaction between maximum precipitation and the ratio of four-six floor buildings was the largest (q = 0.74). In southeastern Zhejiang and northern Shandong, highly concentrated areas of ​collapsed houses were found. The results of the study can be used to develop more specific policies aimed at safety improvements and successful property protection.