Limits on determining the skill of North Atlantic Ocean decadal predictions
Decadal climate prediction systems are tested against ocean reanalyses, but these reanalyses can yield differing perspectives of the ocean state. Here the authors show that in the North Atlantic, the perceived skill of a prediction system is fundamentally affected by these uncertainties.
| Main Authors: | , |
|---|---|
| Format: | Article |
| Language: | English |
| Published: |
Nature Publishing Group
2018-04-01
|
| Series: | Nature Communications |
| Online Access: | https://doi.org/10.1038/s41467-018-04043-9 |
| id |
doaj-408698d862c642d294e13ab7b69142fe |
|---|---|
| record_format |
Article |
| spelling |
doaj-408698d862c642d294e13ab7b69142fe2021-05-11T10:03:53ZengNature Publishing GroupNature Communications2041-17232018-04-01911810.1038/s41467-018-04043-9Limits on determining the skill of North Atlantic Ocean decadal predictionsMatthew B. Menary0Leon Hermanson1Met Office Hadley Centre, Met OfficeMet Office Hadley Centre, Met OfficeDecadal climate prediction systems are tested against ocean reanalyses, but these reanalyses can yield differing perspectives of the ocean state. Here the authors show that in the North Atlantic, the perceived skill of a prediction system is fundamentally affected by these uncertainties.https://doi.org/10.1038/s41467-018-04043-9 |
| collection |
DOAJ |
| language |
English |
| format |
Article |
| sources |
DOAJ |
| author |
Matthew B. Menary Leon Hermanson |
| spellingShingle |
Matthew B. Menary Leon Hermanson Limits on determining the skill of North Atlantic Ocean decadal predictions Nature Communications |
| author_facet |
Matthew B. Menary Leon Hermanson |
| author_sort |
Matthew B. Menary |
| title |
Limits on determining the skill of North Atlantic Ocean decadal predictions |
| title_short |
Limits on determining the skill of North Atlantic Ocean decadal predictions |
| title_full |
Limits on determining the skill of North Atlantic Ocean decadal predictions |
| title_fullStr |
Limits on determining the skill of North Atlantic Ocean decadal predictions |
| title_full_unstemmed |
Limits on determining the skill of North Atlantic Ocean decadal predictions |
| title_sort |
limits on determining the skill of north atlantic ocean decadal predictions |
| publisher |
Nature Publishing Group |
| series |
Nature Communications |
| issn |
2041-1723 |
| publishDate |
2018-04-01 |
| description |
Decadal climate prediction systems are tested against ocean reanalyses, but these reanalyses can yield differing perspectives of the ocean state. Here the authors show that in the North Atlantic, the perceived skill of a prediction system is fundamentally affected by these uncertainties. |
| url |
https://doi.org/10.1038/s41467-018-04043-9 |
| work_keys_str_mv |
AT matthewbmenary limitsondeterminingtheskillofnorthatlanticoceandecadalpredictions AT leonhermanson limitsondeterminingtheskillofnorthatlanticoceandecadalpredictions |
| _version_ |
1721448715169824768 |