Validation of Ensemble-Based Probabilistic Tropical Cyclone Intensity Change

Although there has been substantial improvement to numerical weather prediction models, accurate predictions of tropical cyclone rapid intensification (RI) remain elusive. The processes that govern RI, such as convection, may be inherently less predictable; therefore a probabilistic approach should...

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Bibliographic Details
Main Authors: Ryan D. Torn, Mark DeMaria
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: MDPI AG 2021-03-01
Series:Atmosphere
Subjects:
Online Access:https://www.mdpi.com/2073-4433/12/3/373