Risk of Insolvency and Return of Shares: Empirical Analysis of Altman's Z-Score in the Peruvian Mining Sector Between 2008-2018
This research pretends to evaluate the significance of the insolvency risk, referred by Altman's Z-Score, in the explanation of the historical return of the 7 most liquid mining companies listed in the Lima Stock Exchange based on a Market Return Model (MRM) under a cross-sectional approach. I...
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Universidad del Rosario
2021-02-01
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doaj-4de233f414c54733b82da2a210b2374c2021-08-30T12:34:32ZengUniversidad del RosarioUniversidad y Empresa0124-46392145-45582021-02-01234010.12804/revistas.urosario.edu.co/empresa/a.8558Risk of Insolvency and Return of Shares: Empirical Analysis of Altman's Z-Score in the Peruvian Mining Sector Between 2008-2018Edmundo R Lizarzaburu Bolaños0Kurt Burneo1Luis Berggrun2Universidad EsanCENTRUM Católica Graduate Business School (CCGBS), Lima, Perú / Pontificia Universidad Católica del Perú (PUCP)CESA Business School, Cll 35 N° 5ª, Bogota, Colombia This research pretends to evaluate the significance of the insolvency risk, referred by Altman's Z-Score, in the explanation of the historical return of the 7 most liquid mining companies listed in the Lima Stock Exchange based on a Market Return Model (MRM) under a cross-sectional approach. In this sense, daily data was collected from the S&P/BVL Peru Select index and the Peruvian 10-year Sovereign Bond between 2008-2018, approximated quarterly by the geometric average to homogenize them with the frequency of the Z. Thus, two central results were obtained: 1) The Z-Score, as an estimator of insolvency risk, is not valid to explain the behavior of the historical return of the shares, and 2) The Market Premium is statistically significant within the yield analysis. Also, contrary to the common literature, the results suggest the validity of Sharpe's conventional CAPM. https://revistas.urosario.edu.co/index.php/empresa/article/view/8558Financial distresssolvency riskZ-Scorehistorical stock performanceemerging marketsmining sector |
collection |
DOAJ |
language |
English |
format |
Article |
sources |
DOAJ |
author |
Edmundo R Lizarzaburu Bolaños Kurt Burneo Luis Berggrun |
spellingShingle |
Edmundo R Lizarzaburu Bolaños Kurt Burneo Luis Berggrun Risk of Insolvency and Return of Shares: Empirical Analysis of Altman's Z-Score in the Peruvian Mining Sector Between 2008-2018 Universidad y Empresa Financial distress solvency risk Z-Score historical stock performance emerging markets mining sector |
author_facet |
Edmundo R Lizarzaburu Bolaños Kurt Burneo Luis Berggrun |
author_sort |
Edmundo R Lizarzaburu Bolaños |
title |
Risk of Insolvency and Return of Shares: Empirical Analysis of Altman's Z-Score in the Peruvian Mining Sector Between 2008-2018 |
title_short |
Risk of Insolvency and Return of Shares: Empirical Analysis of Altman's Z-Score in the Peruvian Mining Sector Between 2008-2018 |
title_full |
Risk of Insolvency and Return of Shares: Empirical Analysis of Altman's Z-Score in the Peruvian Mining Sector Between 2008-2018 |
title_fullStr |
Risk of Insolvency and Return of Shares: Empirical Analysis of Altman's Z-Score in the Peruvian Mining Sector Between 2008-2018 |
title_full_unstemmed |
Risk of Insolvency and Return of Shares: Empirical Analysis of Altman's Z-Score in the Peruvian Mining Sector Between 2008-2018 |
title_sort |
risk of insolvency and return of shares: empirical analysis of altman's z-score in the peruvian mining sector between 2008-2018 |
publisher |
Universidad del Rosario |
series |
Universidad y Empresa |
issn |
0124-4639 2145-4558 |
publishDate |
2021-02-01 |
description |
This research pretends to evaluate the significance of the insolvency risk, referred by Altman's Z-Score, in the explanation of the historical return of the 7 most liquid mining companies listed in the Lima Stock Exchange based on a Market Return Model (MRM) under a cross-sectional approach. In this sense, daily data was collected from the S&P/BVL Peru Select index and the Peruvian 10-year Sovereign Bond between 2008-2018, approximated quarterly by the geometric average to homogenize them with the frequency of the Z. Thus, two central results were obtained: 1) The Z-Score, as an estimator of insolvency risk, is not valid to explain the behavior of the historical return of the shares, and 2) The Market Premium is statistically significant within the yield analysis. Also, contrary to the common literature, the results suggest the validity of Sharpe's conventional CAPM.
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topic |
Financial distress solvency risk Z-Score historical stock performance emerging markets mining sector |
url |
https://revistas.urosario.edu.co/index.php/empresa/article/view/8558 |
work_keys_str_mv |
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