Long-Term Bioclimatic Modelling the Distribution of the Fire-Bellied Toad, Bombina Bombina (Anura, Bombinatoridae), Under the Influence of Global Climate Change
The article describes the potential distribution area of B. bombina and fi gure out the signifi cant climatic factors of the species at a home range scale. Th is species is listed on Appendix II of the Bern Convention and on Annexes II and IV of the EU Natural Habitats Directive. It is protected by...
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Online Access: | https://doi.org/10.2478/vzoo-2018-0036 |
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doaj-54763498c2ce4864b7c94f781d4cac7b2021-09-05T21:25:39ZengSciendoVestnik Zoologii2073-23332018-08-0152434134810.2478/vzoo-2018-0036Long-Term Bioclimatic Modelling the Distribution of the Fire-Bellied Toad, Bombina Bombina (Anura, Bombinatoridae), Under the Influence of Global Climate ChangeTytar V.0Nekrasova O.1Pupina A.2Pupins M.3Oskyrko O.4Schmalhausen Institute of Zoologу, NAS of Ukraine, vul. B. Khmelnytskogo, 15,Kyiv, 01030 UkraineSchmalhausen Institute of Zoologу, NAS of Ukraine, vul. B. Khmelnytskogo, 15,Kyiv, 01030 UkraineDepartament of Ecology, Institute of Life Sciences and Technologies, Daugavpils University,Parades street, 1A,Daugavpils. LV5400 LatviaDepartament of Ecology, Institute of Life Sciences and Technologies, Daugavpils University, Parades street, 1A,Daugavpils. LV5400, LatviaEducational and Scientifi c Center “Institute of biology and medicine”,Taras Shevchenko National University of Kyiv, pr. Akademika Hlushkova, 2,Kyiv, 03022 UkraineThe article describes the potential distribution area of B. bombina and fi gure out the signifi cant climatic factors of the species at a home range scale. Th is species is listed on Appendix II of the Bern Convention and on Annexes II and IV of the EU Natural Habitats Directive. It is protected by national legislation in many countries, occurs in many protected areas, and is listed in many national and sub-national Red Data books and lists. We collected the occurrence records and a set of climatic variables including 19 factors from 10’ resolution historical (summarizing annual trends, seasonality and extreme conditions during 1961-1990) and projected data (2050) available at the CliMond database. As a result, under climate predictions for 2050 there may be a substantial north and north-west shift of optimal habitat. Under such a scenario B. bombina populations may suff er mostly in the east and south of Ukraine. Under the modelled scenario the species representation in protected areas throughout the home range should be considered, but especially in Ukraine.https://doi.org/10.2478/vzoo-2018-0036global climate changebombina bombinadistribution modellingamphibians |
collection |
DOAJ |
language |
English |
format |
Article |
sources |
DOAJ |
author |
Tytar V. Nekrasova O. Pupina A. Pupins M. Oskyrko O. |
spellingShingle |
Tytar V. Nekrasova O. Pupina A. Pupins M. Oskyrko O. Long-Term Bioclimatic Modelling the Distribution of the Fire-Bellied Toad, Bombina Bombina (Anura, Bombinatoridae), Under the Influence of Global Climate Change Vestnik Zoologii global climate change bombina bombina distribution modelling amphibians |
author_facet |
Tytar V. Nekrasova O. Pupina A. Pupins M. Oskyrko O. |
author_sort |
Tytar V. |
title |
Long-Term Bioclimatic Modelling the Distribution of the Fire-Bellied Toad, Bombina Bombina (Anura, Bombinatoridae), Under the Influence of Global Climate Change |
title_short |
Long-Term Bioclimatic Modelling the Distribution of the Fire-Bellied Toad, Bombina Bombina (Anura, Bombinatoridae), Under the Influence of Global Climate Change |
title_full |
Long-Term Bioclimatic Modelling the Distribution of the Fire-Bellied Toad, Bombina Bombina (Anura, Bombinatoridae), Under the Influence of Global Climate Change |
title_fullStr |
Long-Term Bioclimatic Modelling the Distribution of the Fire-Bellied Toad, Bombina Bombina (Anura, Bombinatoridae), Under the Influence of Global Climate Change |
title_full_unstemmed |
Long-Term Bioclimatic Modelling the Distribution of the Fire-Bellied Toad, Bombina Bombina (Anura, Bombinatoridae), Under the Influence of Global Climate Change |
title_sort |
long-term bioclimatic modelling the distribution of the fire-bellied toad, bombina bombina (anura, bombinatoridae), under the influence of global climate change |
publisher |
Sciendo |
series |
Vestnik Zoologii |
issn |
2073-2333 |
publishDate |
2018-08-01 |
description |
The article describes the potential distribution area of B. bombina and fi gure out the signifi cant climatic factors of the species at a home range scale. Th is species is listed on Appendix II of the Bern Convention and on Annexes II and IV of the EU Natural Habitats Directive. It is protected by national legislation in many countries, occurs in many protected areas, and is listed in many national and sub-national Red Data books and lists. We collected the occurrence records and a set of climatic variables including 19 factors from 10’ resolution historical (summarizing annual trends, seasonality and extreme conditions during 1961-1990) and projected data (2050) available at the CliMond database. As a result, under climate predictions for 2050 there may be a substantial north and north-west shift of optimal habitat. Under such a scenario B. bombina populations may suff er mostly in the east and south of Ukraine. Under the modelled scenario the species representation in protected areas throughout the home range should be considered, but especially in Ukraine. |
topic |
global climate change bombina bombina distribution modelling amphibians |
url |
https://doi.org/10.2478/vzoo-2018-0036 |
work_keys_str_mv |
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