Incorporating hydrology into climate suitability models changes projections of malaria transmission in Africa

Prior studies mapping climatologically suitable areas for malaria transmission have used relatively simple thresholds for precipitation. Here the authors show that when models incorporate hydrological processes a more complex pattern of malaria suitability emerges in Africa and future shifts in suit...

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Bibliographic Details
Main Authors: M. W. Smith, T. Willis, L. Alfieri, W. H. M. James, M. A. Trigg, D. Yamazaki, A. J. Hardy, B. Bisselink, A. De Roo, M. G. Macklin, C. J. Thomas
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: Nature Publishing Group 2020-08-01
Series:Nature Communications
Online Access:https://doi.org/10.1038/s41467-020-18239-5
Description
Summary:Prior studies mapping climatologically suitable areas for malaria transmission have used relatively simple thresholds for precipitation. Here the authors show that when models incorporate hydrological processes a more complex pattern of malaria suitability emerges in Africa and future shifts in suitability are more pronounced.
ISSN:2041-1723