An Optimal Least Square Support Vector Machine Based Earnings Prediction of Blockchain Financial Products

• Main Authors: M. Sivaram, E. Laxmi Lydia, Irina V. Pustokhina, Denis Alexandrovich Pustokhin, Mohamed Elhoseny, Gyanendra Prasad Joshi, K. Shankar
• Format: Article
• Language: English
• Published: IEEE 2020-01-01
• Series: IEEE Access
• Subjects: Blockchain; bitcoin; financial products; return rate; prediction
• Online Access: https://ieeexplore.ieee.org/document/9127981/

The booming applications of bitcoin Blockchain technologies made investors concerned about the return and risk of financial products. So, the return rate of bitcoin must be foreseen in prior. This research article devises an effective return rate prediction technique for Blockchain financial products based on Optimal Least Square Support Vector Machine (OLS-SVM) model. The parameter optimization of the LS-SVM model was performed using hybridization of Grey Wolf Optimization (GWO) with Differential Evolution (DE), called optimal GWO (OGWO) algorithm. The hybridization process is performed to eliminate the local optima problem of GWO and enhance the diversity of the population. To verify the goodness of the proposed model, the Ethereum (ETH) return rate was chosen as the target and experimental analysis was performed on it to verify the predictive results on the time series. The experimental outcome was analyzed in terms of two performance measures namely Mean Squared Error (MSE) and Mean Absolute Percentage Error (MAPE). The obtained simulation outcome infers that the OLS-SVM model yielded better predictive outcome of the return rate of financial products.