External Effects of the War in Ukraine: The Impact on the Price of Oil in the Short-term

<p>This paper analyses the short-term impact of the most relevant events of the war in the Ukraine on the price of oil. In order to determine the events to be studied, we propose a methodology based on a study of the news published in two reference newspapers in the markets: the Wall Street Jo...

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Bibliographic Details
Main Authors: Antonio Jose Garzon Gordon, Luis Angel Hierro Recio
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: EconJournals 2019-02-01
Series:International Journal of Energy Economics and Policy
Online Access:https://www.econjournals.com/index.php/ijeep/article/view/7380
Description
Summary:<p>This paper analyses the short-term impact of the most relevant events of the war in the Ukraine on the price of oil. In order to determine the events to be studied, we propose a methodology based on a study of the news published in two reference newspapers in the markets: the Wall Street Journal and the Financial Times. From this selection, we use an event study model to detect the significance of the events. The main results obtained are: events that affected daily oil prices were scarce and occurred during very specific phases of the conflict; WTI price was more affected than Brent, even though the war took place in Europe; there is no noticeable lagged effect in the events, suggesting that the market assimilated the impact of relevant events very quickly.</p><p><strong>Keywords:</strong> oil price, war, Ukraine, event study</p><p><strong>JEL Classifications:</strong> F51, G14, Q40</p><p>DOI: <a href="https://doi.org/10.32479/ijeep.7380">https://doi.org/10.32479/ijeep.7380</a></p>
ISSN:2146-4553