A STOCHASTIC MODEL OF EPIDEMIC
First let's construct the determined model of the dynamic of uncontrolled epidemiological process. The quotient β describes frequency of meetings of sick people with healthy and probability of infection. It is subject to action of random factors. Let's enter an item for it which will take...
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Moscow State Technical University of Civil Aviation
2016-12-01
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| Series: | Naučnyj Vestnik MGTU GA |
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| Online Access: | https://avia.mstuca.ru/jour/article/view/859 |
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doaj-73f4b711ed394e5d880921e9693d5ad72021-07-28T21:00:34ZrusMoscow State Technical University of Civil Aviation Naučnyj Vestnik MGTU GA2079-06192542-01192016-12-010224107114859A STOCHASTIC MODEL OF EPIDEMICN. I. Ovsyannikova0МГТУ ГАFirst let's construct the determined model of the dynamic of uncontrolled epidemiological process. The quotient β describes frequency of meetings of sick people with healthy and probability of infection. It is subject to action of random factors. Let's enter an item for it which will take into account the influence of a random destabilization. We'll have stochastic model of epidemic. Comparing the determined and stochastic models, we'll find admissible borders for destabilizing quotient σ if the maximum deviation of dynamic variables can not be higher than 5 %.https://avia.mstuca.ru/jour/article/view/859the dynamic of epidemicthe determined uncontrolled model of epidemicstochastic model of epidemicdestabilizing quotientperturbed coefficient |
| collection |
DOAJ |
| language |
Russian |
| format |
Article |
| sources |
DOAJ |
| author |
N. I. Ovsyannikova |
| spellingShingle |
N. I. Ovsyannikova A STOCHASTIC MODEL OF EPIDEMIC Naučnyj Vestnik MGTU GA the dynamic of epidemic the determined uncontrolled model of epidemic stochastic model of epidemic destabilizing quotient perturbed coefficient |
| author_facet |
N. I. Ovsyannikova |
| author_sort |
N. I. Ovsyannikova |
| title |
A STOCHASTIC MODEL OF EPIDEMIC |
| title_short |
A STOCHASTIC MODEL OF EPIDEMIC |
| title_full |
A STOCHASTIC MODEL OF EPIDEMIC |
| title_fullStr |
A STOCHASTIC MODEL OF EPIDEMIC |
| title_full_unstemmed |
A STOCHASTIC MODEL OF EPIDEMIC |
| title_sort |
stochastic model of epidemic |
| publisher |
Moscow State Technical University of Civil Aviation |
| series |
Naučnyj Vestnik MGTU GA |
| issn |
2079-0619 2542-0119 |
| publishDate |
2016-12-01 |
| description |
First let's construct the determined model of the dynamic of uncontrolled epidemiological process. The quotient β describes frequency of meetings of sick people with healthy and probability of infection. It is subject to action of random factors. Let's enter an item for it which will take into account the influence of a random destabilization. We'll have stochastic model of epidemic. Comparing the determined and stochastic models, we'll find admissible borders for destabilizing quotient σ if the maximum deviation of dynamic variables can not be higher than 5 %. |
| topic |
the dynamic of epidemic the determined uncontrolled model of epidemic stochastic model of epidemic destabilizing quotient perturbed coefficient |
| url |
https://avia.mstuca.ru/jour/article/view/859 |
| work_keys_str_mv |
AT niovsyannikova astochasticmodelofepidemic AT niovsyannikova stochasticmodelofepidemic |
| _version_ |
1721263807203901440 |