Pre-election polls in the 2014 Brazilian elections: error, accuracy and controversy
This article analyses pre-election polls held during the 2014 Brazilian elections, when the presidency and 27 gubernatorial seats were at stake. Although the reliability of Brazilian elections has not been questioned for quite some time, there have been increasing complaints from different political...
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doaj-75f350f94944447b8c0586b2de2bf4df2020-11-25T04:02:22ZengUniversidad de SalamancaRevista de Estudios Brasileños2386-45402015-03-012211513110.14201/reb20152211513115805Pre-election polls in the 2014 Brazilian elections: error, accuracy and controversyWladimir G. GRAMACHO0Universidade de BrasíliaThis article analyses pre-election polls held during the 2014 Brazilian elections, when the presidency and 27 gubernatorial seats were at stake. Although the reliability of Brazilian elections has not been questioned for quite some time, there have been increasing complaints from different political actors as to the quality and the possible influence of polls on election results. The aim of the paper is to review this controversy both at the methodological level - discussing different ways to define and measure poll errors - and at the legislative level - gathering information on proposals to retrench pollsters during election time.https://revistas.usal.es/index.php/2386-4540/article/view/18482brasilelecciones 2014encuestas preelectoraleserroresmetodología |
collection |
DOAJ |
language |
English |
format |
Article |
sources |
DOAJ |
author |
Wladimir G. GRAMACHO |
spellingShingle |
Wladimir G. GRAMACHO Pre-election polls in the 2014 Brazilian elections: error, accuracy and controversy Revista de Estudios Brasileños brasil elecciones 2014 encuestas preelectorales errores metodología |
author_facet |
Wladimir G. GRAMACHO |
author_sort |
Wladimir G. GRAMACHO |
title |
Pre-election polls in the 2014 Brazilian elections: error, accuracy and controversy |
title_short |
Pre-election polls in the 2014 Brazilian elections: error, accuracy and controversy |
title_full |
Pre-election polls in the 2014 Brazilian elections: error, accuracy and controversy |
title_fullStr |
Pre-election polls in the 2014 Brazilian elections: error, accuracy and controversy |
title_full_unstemmed |
Pre-election polls in the 2014 Brazilian elections: error, accuracy and controversy |
title_sort |
pre-election polls in the 2014 brazilian elections: error, accuracy and controversy |
publisher |
Universidad de Salamanca |
series |
Revista de Estudios Brasileños |
issn |
2386-4540 |
publishDate |
2015-03-01 |
description |
This article analyses pre-election polls held during the 2014 Brazilian elections, when the presidency and 27 gubernatorial seats were at stake. Although the reliability of Brazilian elections has not been questioned for quite some time, there have been increasing complaints from different political actors as to the quality and the possible influence of polls on election results. The aim of the paper is to review this controversy both at the methodological level - discussing different ways to define and measure poll errors - and at the legislative level - gathering information on proposals to retrench pollsters during election time. |
topic |
brasil elecciones 2014 encuestas preelectorales errores metodología |
url |
https://revistas.usal.es/index.php/2386-4540/article/view/18482 |
work_keys_str_mv |
AT wladimirggramacho preelectionpollsinthe2014brazilianelectionserroraccuracyandcontroversy |
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1724443316033945600 |