Selection of options for the reconstruction of the power supply system based on the fuzzy sets theory and the crit eria of decision-making theory

• Main Authors: A. V. Malafeev, A. I. Iuldasheva
• Format: Article
• Language: English
• Published: Kazan State Power Engineering University 2019-06-01
• Series: Известия высших учебных заведений: Проблемы энергетики
• Subjects: power supply system; fuzzy sets theory; decision-making theory; game flow chart; bayes criterion; probable damage
• Online Access: https://www.energyret.ru/jour/article/view/925

The article proposes a method for selecting options for the reconstruction of the power  supply  system  based  on  the  criteria  of  decision-making  theory.  The  reconstruction process  is  considered  as  a  sequential  game  with  two  players :  active  and  passive.  The probability of possible states of the system is determined on the basis of the fuzzy sets theory. The main criterion for the choice of the reconstruction option is the value of damage from the power  supply  interruption.  The  application  of  the  proposed  method  is  considered  on  the example of a large metallurgical enterprise.