A scoping review of deep neural networks for electric load forecasting

• Main Authors: Nicolai Bo Vanting, Zheng Ma, Bo Nørregaard Jørgensen
• Format: Article
• Language: English
• Published: SpringerOpen 2021-09-01
• Series: Energy Informatics
• Subjects: Load forecasting; Deep learning; Artificial neural network; Scoping review; Energy sector
• Online Access: https://doi.org/10.1186/s42162-021-00148-6

Abstract The increasing dependency on electricity and demand for renewable energy sources means that distributed system operators face new challenges in their grid. Accurate forecasts of electric load can solve these challenges. In recent years deep neural networks have become increasingly popular in research, and researchers have carried out many experiments to create the most accurate deep learning models. Players in the energy sector can exploit the increasing amount of energy-related data collected from smart meters to improve the grid’s operating quality. This review investigates state-of-the-art methodologies relating to energy load forecasting using deep neural networks. A thorough literature search is conducted, which outlines and analyses essential aspects regarding deep learning load forecasts in the energy domain. The literature suggests two main perspectives: demand-side management and grid control on the supply side. Each perspective has multiple applications with its challenges to achieve accurate forecasts; households, buildings, and grids. This paper recommends using a hybrid deep learning multivariate model consisting of a convolutional and recurrent neural network based on the scoping review. The suggested input variables should be historical consumption, weather, and day features. Combining the convolutional and recurrent networks ensures that the model learns as many repeating patterns and features in the data as possible.