Forecast of earthquakes, bad news

• Main Author: Bychkov S.V.
• Format: Article
• Language: English
• Published: "VostECO" Ltd 2018-06-01
• Series: Vestnik Naučnogo Centra po Bezopasnosti Rabot v Ugolʹnoj Promyšlennosti
• Subjects: ОЧАГ ЗЕМЛЕТРЯСЕНИЯ; EARTHQUAKE EPICENTRUM; ПРОГНОЗ; FORECAST; ПРЕДВЕСТНИК ПОДЗЕМНЫХ ТОЛЧКОВ; ДЕФОРМАЦИОННАЯ ЭНЕРГИЯ ГОРНЫХ ПОРОД; MINE ROCKS DEFORMATION ENERGY; ГЕОДЕЗИЯ; GEODESY; ГОРНЫЙ МАССИВ; UNDERGROUND SHOCK HERALD
• Online Access: https://ind-saf.com/uploads/s/l/d/a/ldab4xgicwcd/file/0hF051PD.pdf

The natural process of urbanization, accompanying the general human progress, leads to tremors victim number increase and threatens to be multiplied in the future. Time goes by, and there has not been any progress in forecasting underground cataclysms, either. But scientists do not give up [1], [2], [3], [4] and every year they develop new and new methods for earthquake forecasting. The problem, which seemed simple and understandable within the boundaries of earthquake occurrence theory in the interpretation of Reid and Richter [5], in which two tectonic plates (blocks) rub against each other and "cut sparks", in reality turned into an unsolvable nature riddle. No matter how much scientists struggle to solve it, no matter how many government agencies of many countries allocate, nothing that deserves serious attention to geophysics was invented, and every next destructive earthquake turns out to be like a snow on the head for discouraged researchers. Grateful humanity will put monuments around the Earth to the man who will be the first to create a really working theory of earthquakes and their prediction... But after regular failures with earthquake predictions people did begin to creep in, if there is a solution in principle for the problem of earthquake prediction and whether the scientists make fools of the world community, promising to solve the forecast problem in the very near future?