Assessment for Fuel Consumption and Exhaust Emissions of China’s Vehicles: Future Trends and Policy Implications

In the recent years, China’s auto industry develops rapidly, thus bringing a series of burdens to society and environment. This paper uses Logistic model to simulate the future trend of China’s vehicle population and finds that China’s auto industry would come into high speed development time durin...

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Main Authors:	Yingying Wu, Peng Zhao, Hongwei Zhang, Yuan Wang, Guozhu Mao
Format:	Article
Language:	English
Published:	Hindawi Limited 2012-01-01
Series:	The Scientific World Journal
Online Access:	http://dx.doi.org/10.1100/2012/591343

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spelling	doaj-8ad773ad5b9343809b17579345b320132020-11-25T01:57:47ZengHindawi LimitedThe Scientific World Journal1537-744X2012-01-01201210.1100/2012/591343591343Assessment for Fuel Consumption and Exhaust Emissions of China’s Vehicles: Future Trends and Policy ImplicationsYingying Wu0Peng Zhao1Hongwei Zhang2Yuan Wang3Guozhu Mao4School of Environmental Science and Engineering, Tianjin University, Tianjin 300072, ChinaSchool of Environmental Science and Engineering, Tianjin University, Tianjin 300072, ChinaSchool of Environmental Science and Engineering, Tianjin University, Tianjin 300072, ChinaSchool of Environmental Science and Engineering, Tianjin University, Tianjin 300072, ChinaSchool of Environmental Science and Engineering, Tianjin University, Tianjin 300072, ChinaIn the recent years, China’s auto industry develops rapidly, thus bringing a series of burdens to society and environment. This paper uses Logistic model to simulate the future trend of China’s vehicle population and finds that China’s auto industry would come into high speed development time during 2020–2050. Moreover, this paper predicts vehicles’ fuel consumption and exhaust emissions (CO, HC, NOx, and PM) and quantificationally evaluates related industry policies. It can be concluded that (1) by 2020, China should develop at least 47 million medium/heavy hybrid cars to prevent the growth of vehicle fuel consumption; (2) China should take the more stringent vehicle emission standard V over 2017–2021 to hold back the growth of exhaust emissions; (3) developing new energy vehicles is the most effective measure to ease the pressure brought by auto industry.http://dx.doi.org/10.1100/2012/591343
collection	DOAJ
language	English
format	Article
sources	DOAJ
author	Yingying Wu Peng Zhao Hongwei Zhang Yuan Wang Guozhu Mao
spellingShingle	Yingying Wu Peng Zhao Hongwei Zhang Yuan Wang Guozhu Mao Assessment for Fuel Consumption and Exhaust Emissions of China’s Vehicles: Future Trends and Policy Implications The Scientific World Journal
author_facet	Yingying Wu Peng Zhao Hongwei Zhang Yuan Wang Guozhu Mao
author_sort	Yingying Wu
title	Assessment for Fuel Consumption and Exhaust Emissions of China’s Vehicles: Future Trends and Policy Implications
title_short	Assessment for Fuel Consumption and Exhaust Emissions of China’s Vehicles: Future Trends and Policy Implications
title_full	Assessment for Fuel Consumption and Exhaust Emissions of China’s Vehicles: Future Trends and Policy Implications
title_fullStr	Assessment for Fuel Consumption and Exhaust Emissions of China’s Vehicles: Future Trends and Policy Implications
title_full_unstemmed	Assessment for Fuel Consumption and Exhaust Emissions of China’s Vehicles: Future Trends and Policy Implications
title_sort	assessment for fuel consumption and exhaust emissions of china’s vehicles: future trends and policy implications
publisher	Hindawi Limited
series	The Scientific World Journal
issn	1537-744X
publishDate	2012-01-01
description	In the recent years, China’s auto industry develops rapidly, thus bringing a series of burdens to society and environment. This paper uses Logistic model to simulate the future trend of China’s vehicle population and finds that China’s auto industry would come into high speed development time during 2020–2050. Moreover, this paper predicts vehicles’ fuel consumption and exhaust emissions (CO, HC, NOx, and PM) and quantificationally evaluates related industry policies. It can be concluded that (1) by 2020, China should develop at least 47 million medium/heavy hybrid cars to prevent the growth of vehicle fuel consumption; (2) China should take the more stringent vehicle emission standard V over 2017–2021 to hold back the growth of exhaust emissions; (3) developing new energy vehicles is the most effective measure to ease the pressure brought by auto industry.
url	http://dx.doi.org/10.1100/2012/591343
work_keys_str_mv	AT yingyingwu assessmentforfuelconsumptionandexhaustemissionsofchinasvehiclesfuturetrendsandpolicyimplications AT pengzhao assessmentforfuelconsumptionandexhaustemissionsofchinasvehiclesfuturetrendsandpolicyimplications AT hongweizhang assessmentforfuelconsumptionandexhaustemissionsofchinasvehiclesfuturetrendsandpolicyimplications AT yuanwang assessmentforfuelconsumptionandexhaustemissionsofchinasvehiclesfuturetrendsandpolicyimplications AT guozhumao assessmentforfuelconsumptionandexhaustemissionsofchinasvehiclesfuturetrendsandpolicyimplications
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Assessment for Fuel Consumption and Exhaust Emissions of China’s Vehicles: Future Trends and Policy Implications

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